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Ravioli, Prediction Markets & Debates
Health Markets
Will the results of the phase III trial for elraglusib with chemotherapy for pancreatic cancer be published by June 30, 2026?
Yes
70¢
No
30¢
70% chance
Will a clinical trial for the new miniaturized CRISPR delivery system begin by June 30, 2026?
Yes
60¢
No
40¢
60% chance
Will the FDA approve a new AI tool for Alzheimer's disease prediction by June 2026?
Yes
55¢
No
45¢
55% chance
Will the CMS proposal for hospital pay bump be approved by June 30, 2026?
Yes
70¢
No
30¢
70% chance
Will a fasting-mimicking diet be recommended by a major health organization for Crohn's disease management by July 31, 2026?
Yes
30¢
No
70¢
30% chance
Will a fasting-mimicking diet be officially recommended by the NMC for managing Crohn's disease by August 1, 2026?
Yes
30¢
No
70¢
30% chance
Will Insight Health successfully scale its clinical AI agents by December 31, 2026?
Yes
60¢
No
40¢
60% chance
Will a routine blood test for early cancer detection be publicly recommended by a major health institution by June 30, 2027?
Yes
55¢
No
45¢
55% chance
Will AI tools become HIPAA-compliant for patient data processing by December 31, 2026?
Yes
55¢
No
45¢
55% chance
Will a new international healthcare data language be adopted by a major global health organization by 2027?
Yes
55¢
No
45¢
55% chance
Will Cardinal Health's expansion of Ac-225 production ease supply constraints for targeted alpha therapies by April 2027?
Yes
70¢
No
30¢
70% chance
Will a universal standard for patient-facing AI in behavioral health be established by the end of 2027?
Yes
55¢
No
45¢
55% chance
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