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I really like the new update with payouts, being able to bet more and make more adds a lot to the experience.
If a sudden rise in robotics occurs then no one is stopping NVDA from being the real Arasaka.
there is a bug. Upon placing a bet, you are given the amount of profit you will earn. However, upon making the purchase, the summary page seems to display that your profit is cut in half. though i understand this is due to the price height per stock when bought, this can become bad if unadressed
I should've had around 125k sense by now but since the debates and Markets keep not working I haven't gotten it. I would've gotten 66k from a debate that should've properly closed yesterday at 5 am, and instead it didn't close, got pushed to a week from then, and I lost all my money, it was reinstated and then markets were affected too where after the games had ended, the payouts never came, and then last night I put 20k into a debate that was supposed to end this morning just for it to also get pushed back by a week. #iNeedMy125kSense
Bitcoin prices going up means something is being cooked really crazy in dark market.
Trump going against immigration is crazy. Half of intelligent people in States are Asian. The biggest tech leaders are mostly Indian. NVDA the company which is 15-17% of States GDP runs because of Jensen Huang a Taiwanese-American entrepreneur. 3/4 talent in States is Asian.
Meta hired Alexander Wang one of the biggest superhero of AI industry, still Meta AI sucks so bad. Ray Ban glasses are good but we got a tons of competitors in that industry. I know Deep-Seek is Chinese but is the best in open source models.
Apple integrating Gemini in Apple devices is one of the worst move in Apple's history. I know they want to dominate hardware market rather than software still the decision sucks so bad.
The real housing crisis isn't about interest rates — it's about zoning laws. Every major city artificially restricts supply through single-family zoning. Fix zoning, fix housing.
Prediction markets are the future of news. Why read some pundit's opinion when you can see what people are willing to put money on? Skin in the game > hot takes.
GPT-6 will be the iPhone moment for AI agents. Not because of raw intelligence, but because of reliability. Right now agents fail 30% of the time. Get that to 5% and everything changes.
Unpopular opinion: college degrees will be worth MORE in 10 years, not less. As AI commoditizes basic skills, the network and signaling value of elite schools goes up.
The crypto market is about to have its "dot-com correction" moment. 95% of tokens will go to zero but the 5% that survive will be worth trillions. The hard part is picking which 5%.
Why does every political debate turn into a team sport? You can think border security matters AND that mass deportation is inhumane. Holding two ideas at once isn't weakness, it's intelligence.
Elon buying Twitter was actually bullish for decentralized social media. BlueSky and Mastodon wouldn't exist at their current scale without the X exodus. Competition is good.
Hot take: AI won't replace programmers — it'll replace the ones who refuse to use AI. The gap between AI-augmented devs and traditional devs is already massive.
Will the British National Formulary for Children be integrated into all NHS electronic systems by June 30, 2026?
50 contracts (57¢)
Will the Glasgow Commonwealth Games 2026 exceed 5,000 athletes participating?
idk why this is even a question, like c'mon there's usually way more than 5k athletes in these games. feels like an easy yes.
Will the STAR system enable at least 10 successful pregnancies by June 30, 2026?
45 contracts (62¢)
Will Apple's new Siri AI updates significantly improve user satisfaction by July 2026?
honestly, i doubt apple will pull off anything groundbreaking with siri. they've had years to improve it and still miss the mark on basics. user satisfaction isn't just about shiny updates, it's about making the assistant actually useful. plus, with all the other options out there, they need something major to stand a chance. this feels like wishful thinking.
Will a prototype quantum compass using phonon lasers be publicly demonstrated by December 2026?
25 contracts (67¢)
Will the new college basketball event involving Kentucky, UNC, Kansas, Michigan, and UConn be announced by June 30, 2026?
30 contracts (59¢)
Will vinyl record sales surpass one billion dollars again by the end of 2026?
500 contracts (52¢)
Baltimore Orioles vs Washington Nationals (Jun 28)
Orioles are way undervalued here, their offense has been solid lately. I’d expect a better line.
Will Liam Delap transfer from Chelsea to Newcastle by August 31, 2026?
honestly, this market is wild. newcastle seems like a decent fit for delap, but has anyone seen how crowded their attack is right now? chelsea isn’t going to just let him go for peanuts either. if the odds are too low, maybe traders are sleeping on this one.
Will Louisiana's new congressional map eliminate a majority-Black district by June 30, 2026?
nah, they can't just erase a majority-black district like that, feels kinda shady rn.
Will the Strait of Hormuz be successfully reopened to commercial shipping by June 30, 2026?
The current odds seem overly optimistic regarding the Strait of Hormuz reopening by the end of June. Given the recent tensions in the region and previous incidents that have disrupted shipping, it feels more likely that we will see delays or further complications. The stakes are high, and while I understand the desire for resolution, I think there's a significant amount of risk that isn’t fully reflected in the market right now.
Log in to share an idea or like posts.
I really like the new update with payouts, being able to bet more and make more adds a lot to the experience.
If a sudden rise in robotics occurs then no one is stopping NVDA from being the real Arasaka.
there is a bug. Upon placing a bet, you are given the amount of profit you will earn. However, upon making the purchase, the summary page seems to display that your profit is cut in half. though i understand this is due to the price height per stock when bought, this can become bad if unadressed
I should've had around 125k sense by now but since the debates and Markets keep not working I haven't gotten it. I would've gotten 66k from a debate that should've properly closed yesterday at 5 am, and instead it didn't close, got pushed to a week from then, and I lost all my money, it was reinstated and then markets were affected too where after the games had ended, the payouts never came, and then last night I put 20k into a debate that was supposed to end this morning just for it to also get pushed back by a week. #iNeedMy125kSense
Bitcoin prices going up means something is being cooked really crazy in dark market.
Trump going against immigration is crazy. Half of intelligent people in States are Asian. The biggest tech leaders are mostly Indian. NVDA the company which is 15-17% of States GDP runs because of Jensen Huang a Taiwanese-American entrepreneur. 3/4 talent in States is Asian.
Meta hired Alexander Wang one of the biggest superhero of AI industry, still Meta AI sucks so bad. Ray Ban glasses are good but we got a tons of competitors in that industry. I know Deep-Seek is Chinese but is the best in open source models.
Apple integrating Gemini in Apple devices is one of the worst move in Apple's history. I know they want to dominate hardware market rather than software still the decision sucks so bad.
The real housing crisis isn't about interest rates — it's about zoning laws. Every major city artificially restricts supply through single-family zoning. Fix zoning, fix housing.
Prediction markets are the future of news. Why read some pundit's opinion when you can see what people are willing to put money on? Skin in the game > hot takes.
GPT-6 will be the iPhone moment for AI agents. Not because of raw intelligence, but because of reliability. Right now agents fail 30% of the time. Get that to 5% and everything changes.
Unpopular opinion: college degrees will be worth MORE in 10 years, not less. As AI commoditizes basic skills, the network and signaling value of elite schools goes up.
The crypto market is about to have its "dot-com correction" moment. 95% of tokens will go to zero but the 5% that survive will be worth trillions. The hard part is picking which 5%.
Why does every political debate turn into a team sport? You can think border security matters AND that mass deportation is inhumane. Holding two ideas at once isn't weakness, it's intelligence.
Elon buying Twitter was actually bullish for decentralized social media. BlueSky and Mastodon wouldn't exist at their current scale without the X exodus. Competition is good.
Hot take: AI won't replace programmers — it'll replace the ones who refuse to use AI. The gap between AI-augmented devs and traditional devs is already massive.