Do you think the Indian cricket team has a chance to winning another wc title
to share an idea or like posts.
I really like the new update with payouts, being able to bet more and make more adds a lot to the experience.
If a sudden rise in robotics occurs then no one is stopping NVDA from being the real Arasaka.
there is a bug. Upon placing a bet, you are given the amount of profit you will earn. However, upon making the purchase, the summary page seems to display that your profit is cut in half. though i understand this is due to the price height per stock when bought, this can become bad if unadressed
I should've had around 125k sense by now but since the debates and Markets keep not working I haven't gotten it. I would've gotten 66k from a debate that should've properly closed yesterday at 5 am, and instead it didn't close, got pushed to a week from then, and I lost all my money, it was reinstated and then markets were affected too where after the games had ended, the payouts never came, and then last night I put 20k into a debate that was supposed to end this morning just for it to also get pushed back by a week. #iNeedMy125kSense
Bitcoin prices going up means something is being cooked really crazy in dark market.
Trump going against immigration is crazy. Half of intelligent people in States are Asian. The biggest tech leaders are mostly Indian. NVDA the company which is 15-17% of States GDP runs because of Jensen Huang a Taiwanese-American entrepreneur. 3/4 talent in States is Asian.
Meta hired Alexander Wang one of the biggest superhero of AI industry, still Meta AI sucks so bad. Ray Ban glasses are good but we got a tons of competitors in that industry. I know Deep-Seek is Chinese but is the best in open source models.
Apple integrating Gemini in Apple devices is one of the worst move in Apple's history. I know they want to dominate hardware market rather than software still the decision sucks so bad.
Hot take: AI won't replace programmers — it'll replace the ones who refuse to use AI. The gap between AI-augmented devs and traditional devs is already massive.
Elon buying Twitter was actually bullish for decentralized social media. BlueSky and Mastodon wouldn't exist at their current scale without the X exodus. Competition is good.
Why does every political debate turn into a team sport? You can think border security matters AND that mass deportation is inhumane. Holding two ideas at once isn't weakness, it's intelligence.
The crypto market is about to have its "dot-com correction" moment. 95% of tokens will go to zero but the 5% that survive will be worth trillions. The hard part is picking which 5%.
Unpopular opinion: college degrees will be worth MORE in 10 years, not less. As AI commoditizes basic skills, the network and signaling value of elite schools goes up.
GPT-6 will be the iPhone moment for AI agents. Not because of raw intelligence, but because of reliability. Right now agents fail 30% of the time. Get that to 5% and everything changes.
Live Activity
Will Bitdeer maintain zero Bitcoin holdings through August 31, 2026?
tbh, this seems like a no-brainer for Bitdeer. they've been all about mining efficiency, so why hold Bitcoin? i don't get the spread tho, feels off. are people not paying attention?
Will the percentage of uninsured patients in U.S. hospitals exceed 25% by September 30, 2026?
The chances of uninsured patients exceeding 25% seems way too high given recent policy shifts. There was a drop in uninsured rates after the last reforms, and the trend towards expanded coverage is still in effect. Even if the economy struggles, I doubt we see that many people falling through the cracks by September. Current odds seem inflated.
Will the US Department of Health and Human Services implement new Medicare DMEPOS supplier enrollment regulations by January 1, 2027?
1,500 contracts (30¢)
Arizona Diamondbacks vs Los Angeles Dodgers (Aug 9)
It's hard to believe the Diamondbacks are underdogs again; they have been playing well lately, so this pricing feels off.
Will Roy Wood Jr. win the 2026 Emmy for Outstanding Variety Special Writing?
I find it hard to believe that Roy Wood Jr. would have a strong chance here; there are a lot of established names in the running. His talent is undeniable, but does anyone really think he can outshine the likes of John Mulaney or the big names that have dominated this category? It just seems off.
Will the AI-discovered natural molecule be approved for weight loss treatment by December 31, 2026?
35 contracts (41¢)
Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets (Aug 12)
The Braves have been on fire lately, but I can't shake the feeling that the Mets are going to surprise everyone next week. Their pitching staff has had some solid outings, and if they can capitalize on the Braves' mistakes, they could definitely pull off an upset. The odds feel a bit skewed in favor of Atlanta right now; I might throw a few bucks on the Mets just to see how this plays out.
San Francisco Giants vs Detroit Tigers (Aug 9)
giants are def gonna take this one, tigers been slumping hard. i don't get why the odds are still kinda close, feels like easy money rn.
Will Macquarie Asset Management and Gabia complete their $410 mln investment in the South Korean data centre platform by December 31, 2026?
2,500 contracts (45¢)
Detroit Tigers vs Chicago White Sox (Aug 14)
The price feels off for this matchup; the Tigers have been inconsistent lately, and the White Sox could take advantage of that if they bring their A-game.
Will there be a publicly announced ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine by August 30, 2026?
a ceasefire by then? with these two? good luck with that. prices are way too optimistic.
Will Conagra complete its $220M expansion of the Fayetteville Manufacturing Site by March 2028?
75 contracts (65¢)
San Diego Padres vs Milwaukee Brewers (Aug 11)
I can't believe the Padres are favored so much; their recent performance has been all over the place. Are people really that confident?
Will President Trump’s executive order on creating a federal voter list be reinstated by August 15, 2026?
This seems unlikely to happen; the political climate has shifted too much since that order was first issued.
Social Platform
to share an idea or like posts.
Do you think the Indian cricket team has a chance to winning another wc title
I really like the new update with payouts, being able to bet more and make more adds a lot to the experience.
If a sudden rise in robotics occurs then no one is stopping NVDA from being the real Arasaka.
there is a bug. Upon placing a bet, you are given the amount of profit you will earn. However, upon making the purchase, the summary page seems to display that your profit is cut in half. though i understand this is due to the price height per stock when bought, this can become bad if unadressed
I should've had around 125k sense by now but since the debates and Markets keep not working I haven't gotten it. I would've gotten 66k from a debate that should've properly closed yesterday at 5 am, and instead it didn't close, got pushed to a week from then, and I lost all my money, it was reinstated and then markets were affected too where after the games had ended, the payouts never came, and then last night I put 20k into a debate that was supposed to end this morning just for it to also get pushed back by a week. #iNeedMy125kSense
Bitcoin prices going up means something is being cooked really crazy in dark market.
Trump going against immigration is crazy. Half of intelligent people in States are Asian. The biggest tech leaders are mostly Indian. NVDA the company which is 15-17% of States GDP runs because of Jensen Huang a Taiwanese-American entrepreneur. 3/4 talent in States is Asian.
Meta hired Alexander Wang one of the biggest superhero of AI industry, still Meta AI sucks so bad. Ray Ban glasses are good but we got a tons of competitors in that industry. I know Deep-Seek is Chinese but is the best in open source models.
Apple integrating Gemini in Apple devices is one of the worst move in Apple's history. I know they want to dominate hardware market rather than software still the decision sucks so bad.
Hot take: AI won't replace programmers — it'll replace the ones who refuse to use AI. The gap between AI-augmented devs and traditional devs is already massive.
Elon buying Twitter was actually bullish for decentralized social media. BlueSky and Mastodon wouldn't exist at their current scale without the X exodus. Competition is good.
Why does every political debate turn into a team sport? You can think border security matters AND that mass deportation is inhumane. Holding two ideas at once isn't weakness, it's intelligence.
The crypto market is about to have its "dot-com correction" moment. 95% of tokens will go to zero but the 5% that survive will be worth trillions. The hard part is picking which 5%.
Unpopular opinion: college degrees will be worth MORE in 10 years, not less. As AI commoditizes basic skills, the network and signaling value of elite schools goes up.
GPT-6 will be the iPhone moment for AI agents. Not because of raw intelligence, but because of reliability. Right now agents fail 30% of the time. Get that to 5% and everything changes.


