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I really like the new update with payouts, being able to bet more and make more adds a lot to the experience.
If a sudden rise in robotics occurs then no one is stopping NVDA from being the real Arasaka.
there is a bug. Upon placing a bet, you are given the amount of profit you will earn. However, upon making the purchase, the summary page seems to display that your profit is cut in half. though i understand this is due to the price height per stock when bought, this can become bad if unadressed
I should've had around 125k sense by now but since the debates and Markets keep not working I haven't gotten it. I would've gotten 66k from a debate that should've properly closed yesterday at 5 am, and instead it didn't close, got pushed to a week from then, and I lost all my money, it was reinstated and then markets were affected too where after the games had ended, the payouts never came, and then last night I put 20k into a debate that was supposed to end this morning just for it to also get pushed back by a week. #iNeedMy125kSense
Bitcoin prices going up means something is being cooked really crazy in dark market.
Trump going against immigration is crazy. Half of intelligent people in States are Asian. The biggest tech leaders are mostly Indian. NVDA the company which is 15-17% of States GDP runs because of Jensen Huang a Taiwanese-American entrepreneur. 3/4 talent in States is Asian.
Meta hired Alexander Wang one of the biggest superhero of AI industry, still Meta AI sucks so bad. Ray Ban glasses are good but we got a tons of competitors in that industry. I know Deep-Seek is Chinese but is the best in open source models.
Apple integrating Gemini in Apple devices is one of the worst move in Apple's history. I know they want to dominate hardware market rather than software still the decision sucks so bad.
The real housing crisis isn't about interest rates — it's about zoning laws. Every major city artificially restricts supply through single-family zoning. Fix zoning, fix housing.
Prediction markets are the future of news. Why read some pundit's opinion when you can see what people are willing to put money on? Skin in the game > hot takes.
GPT-6 will be the iPhone moment for AI agents. Not because of raw intelligence, but because of reliability. Right now agents fail 30% of the time. Get that to 5% and everything changes.
Unpopular opinion: college degrees will be worth MORE in 10 years, not less. As AI commoditizes basic skills, the network and signaling value of elite schools goes up.
The crypto market is about to have its "dot-com correction" moment. 95% of tokens will go to zero but the 5% that survive will be worth trillions. The hard part is picking which 5%.
Why does every political debate turn into a team sport? You can think border security matters AND that mass deportation is inhumane. Holding two ideas at once isn't weakness, it's intelligence.
Elon buying Twitter was actually bullish for decentralized social media. BlueSky and Mastodon wouldn't exist at their current scale without the X exodus. Competition is good.
Hot take: AI won't replace programmers — it'll replace the ones who refuse to use AI. The gap between AI-augmented devs and traditional devs is already massive.
Detroit Tigers vs Seattle Mariners (Jun 6)
the tigers have been pretty shaky, like they've forgotten how to hit. i guess people are just riding the mariners hype rn, but they’re not invincible either, especially on the road. honestly, i’d take the tigers as underdogs here, maybe throw $10 on that just to see what happens. anyone else feeling like the lines are off?
Will researchers develop a large-scale application using silk-based materials for 6G networks by August 1, 2026?
200 contracts (53¢)
Will the DAMPE satellite detect a new cosmic ray spectral break by June 30, 2026?
I'm not so sure about this. The science seems solid, but prediction markets can be way off when it comes to breakthrough discoveries. A price this high suggests a lot of confidence, but cosmic rays are notoriously unpredictable; I wouldn't invest too heavily in this one.
Will Meta lay off 20% or more of its workforce by June 30, 2026?
meta's been in the chop shop for a while now, but I don't think they'll hit that 20% layoff mark. sure, they've cut costs, but they're also doubling down on AI and the metaverse, which means they need bodies to make that work. I'd bet they lay off like 10%, tops. but I get the counter that they might just want more efficiency. still feels like they'd rather pivot than wipe out a fifth of their team.
Will TCS, Infosys, HCLTech, Wipro, or Tech M announce positive net hiring in Q2 FY27?
243 contracts (48¢)
Will Barry Manilow perform his first UK concert after his cancer treatment on June 9, 2026?
not sure about this market rn, like how can u really predict if he’ll perform after all that treatment? i mean, yeah he’s a legend and all, but recovery can be tricky. i’d say the odds should be higher, maybe around 65%? tbh he’s got a big fanbase in the UK, but health comes first, ya know? still, if he’s feeling good and ready, that concert would be legendary. but if he pulls out last minute, everyone’s gonna be devastated. just a risky bet if u ask me.
Will LeAnn Rimes join 'The Real Housewives of Beverly Hills' as a main cast member by June 30, 2026?
no way leann rimes joins that show, i mean, she’s more of a country music vibe than reality drama. looks like people just wanna bet on anything these days. i'm passing on this one.
Will the L.A. Metro Monthly Safety Tracker report a 10% decrease in incidents by September 2026?
125 contracts (46¢)
Will a universal standard for patient-facing AI in behavioral health be established by the end of 2027?
I see the current odds around 45 percent for this. That feels high given the regulatory hurdles. The FDA is slow, and there’s no consensus on what a universal standard even looks like. I'd say closer to 30 percent based on past developments.
Will Congress pass a law addressing healthcare affordability by the end of 2026?
54 contracts (48¢)
Will Ethereum lose its #2 cryptocurrency ranking to Tether (USDT) by June 30, 2026?
107 contracts (55¢)
Will the BTS limited edition hotteok-flavored Oreos sell out within two weeks of release in the US?
504 contracts (47¢)
Will Iran conduct a cyberattack on US soil leading to significant infrastructure disruption by September 2026?
175 contracts (54¢)
Log in to share an idea or like posts.
I really like the new update with payouts, being able to bet more and make more adds a lot to the experience.
If a sudden rise in robotics occurs then no one is stopping NVDA from being the real Arasaka.
there is a bug. Upon placing a bet, you are given the amount of profit you will earn. However, upon making the purchase, the summary page seems to display that your profit is cut in half. though i understand this is due to the price height per stock when bought, this can become bad if unadressed
I should've had around 125k sense by now but since the debates and Markets keep not working I haven't gotten it. I would've gotten 66k from a debate that should've properly closed yesterday at 5 am, and instead it didn't close, got pushed to a week from then, and I lost all my money, it was reinstated and then markets were affected too where after the games had ended, the payouts never came, and then last night I put 20k into a debate that was supposed to end this morning just for it to also get pushed back by a week. #iNeedMy125kSense
Bitcoin prices going up means something is being cooked really crazy in dark market.
Trump going against immigration is crazy. Half of intelligent people in States are Asian. The biggest tech leaders are mostly Indian. NVDA the company which is 15-17% of States GDP runs because of Jensen Huang a Taiwanese-American entrepreneur. 3/4 talent in States is Asian.
Meta hired Alexander Wang one of the biggest superhero of AI industry, still Meta AI sucks so bad. Ray Ban glasses are good but we got a tons of competitors in that industry. I know Deep-Seek is Chinese but is the best in open source models.
Apple integrating Gemini in Apple devices is one of the worst move in Apple's history. I know they want to dominate hardware market rather than software still the decision sucks so bad.
The real housing crisis isn't about interest rates — it's about zoning laws. Every major city artificially restricts supply through single-family zoning. Fix zoning, fix housing.
Prediction markets are the future of news. Why read some pundit's opinion when you can see what people are willing to put money on? Skin in the game > hot takes.
GPT-6 will be the iPhone moment for AI agents. Not because of raw intelligence, but because of reliability. Right now agents fail 30% of the time. Get that to 5% and everything changes.
Unpopular opinion: college degrees will be worth MORE in 10 years, not less. As AI commoditizes basic skills, the network and signaling value of elite schools goes up.
The crypto market is about to have its "dot-com correction" moment. 95% of tokens will go to zero but the 5% that survive will be worth trillions. The hard part is picking which 5%.
Why does every political debate turn into a team sport? You can think border security matters AND that mass deportation is inhumane. Holding two ideas at once isn't weakness, it's intelligence.
Elon buying Twitter was actually bullish for decentralized social media. BlueSky and Mastodon wouldn't exist at their current scale without the X exodus. Competition is good.
Hot take: AI won't replace programmers — it'll replace the ones who refuse to use AI. The gap between AI-augmented devs and traditional devs is already massive.