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I really like the new update with payouts, being able to bet more and make more adds a lot to the experience.
If a sudden rise in robotics occurs then no one is stopping NVDA from being the real Arasaka.
there is a bug. Upon placing a bet, you are given the amount of profit you will earn. However, upon making the purchase, the summary page seems to display that your profit is cut in half. though i understand this is due to the price height per stock when bought, this can become bad if unadressed
I should've had around 125k sense by now but since the debates and Markets keep not working I haven't gotten it. I would've gotten 66k from a debate that should've properly closed yesterday at 5 am, and instead it didn't close, got pushed to a week from then, and I lost all my money, it was reinstated and then markets were affected too where after the games had ended, the payouts never came, and then last night I put 20k into a debate that was supposed to end this morning just for it to also get pushed back by a week. #iNeedMy125kSense
Bitcoin prices going up means something is being cooked really crazy in dark market.
Trump going against immigration is crazy. Half of intelligent people in States are Asian. The biggest tech leaders are mostly Indian. NVDA the company which is 15-17% of States GDP runs because of Jensen Huang a Taiwanese-American entrepreneur. 3/4 talent in States is Asian.
Meta hired Alexander Wang one of the biggest superhero of AI industry, still Meta AI sucks so bad. Ray Ban glasses are good but we got a tons of competitors in that industry. I know Deep-Seek is Chinese but is the best in open source models.
Apple integrating Gemini in Apple devices is one of the worst move in Apple's history. I know they want to dominate hardware market rather than software still the decision sucks so bad.
The real housing crisis isn't about interest rates — it's about zoning laws. Every major city artificially restricts supply through single-family zoning. Fix zoning, fix housing.
Prediction markets are the future of news. Why read some pundit's opinion when you can see what people are willing to put money on? Skin in the game > hot takes.
GPT-6 will be the iPhone moment for AI agents. Not because of raw intelligence, but because of reliability. Right now agents fail 30% of the time. Get that to 5% and everything changes.
Unpopular opinion: college degrees will be worth MORE in 10 years, not less. As AI commoditizes basic skills, the network and signaling value of elite schools goes up.
The crypto market is about to have its "dot-com correction" moment. 95% of tokens will go to zero but the 5% that survive will be worth trillions. The hard part is picking which 5%.
Why does every political debate turn into a team sport? You can think border security matters AND that mass deportation is inhumane. Holding two ideas at once isn't weakness, it's intelligence.
Elon buying Twitter was actually bullish for decentralized social media. BlueSky and Mastodon wouldn't exist at their current scale without the X exodus. Competition is good.
Hot take: AI won't replace programmers — it'll replace the ones who refuse to use AI. The gap between AI-augmented devs and traditional devs is already massive.
Tampa Bay Rays vs Kansas City Royals (Jun 24)
The Rays should definitely take this one; I can't believe the odds are this close.
Will President Trump successfully finalize an Iran peace deal by June 30, 2026?
not sure how this is even a question rn, like trump's never been the peace kinda guy, tbh. could be a major long shot to think he wraps this up by june.
Will a routine blood test for early cancer detection be publicly recommended by a major health institution by June 30, 2027?
750 contracts (52¢)
Will a Knicks player be featured on the cover of Sports Illustrated by July 31, 2026?
1,831 contracts (50¢)
Will Madonna's new album 'Confessions II' be released by September 30, 2026?
who even cares about a second confessions album? the first was a gem but this is just milking nostalgia. i say it won't drop by september.
Will Universal Health Services complete the acquisition of Talkspace by October 1, 2026?
this deal feels like it’s just dragging on forever, like can we just get a decision already?
Will Alibaba's XuanTie C950 CPU reach commercial deployment in an AI application by December 31, 2026?
53 contracts (55¢)
Will a routine blood test for early cancer detection be publicly recommended by a major health institution by June 30, 2027?
125 contracts (52¢)
Will Taylor Swift collaborate with Randy Newman on a new song by September 1, 2026?
this market is kind of wild, right? i mean, taylor swift and randy newman? seems more likely that we get a collab with someone like ed sheeran first, but who knows with her these days.
Will a mail-in voting restriction be blocked by U.S. courts by October 31, 2026?
I think the odds are off here; given the current legal climate and public opinion shifts, I wouldn't be surprised if courts actually block these restrictions.
Will the US Department of Health and Human Services implement new Medicare DMEPOS supplier enrollment regulations by January 1, 2027?
80 contracts (67¢)
Will the TV series 'RuPaul as President' be announced by NBC by August 1, 2026?
this show's got a decent shot but rn the odds are too high, feels like a long shot tbh. where's the hype?
Will Ethereum lose its #2 cryptocurrency ranking to Tether (USDT) by June 30, 2026?
Ethereum has a significant lead in market cap right now, around $220 billion compared to Tether's $82 billion. However, if there are major regulatory changes impacting stablecoins, USDT could gain ground quickly. I wouldn't count Ethereum out, but the volatility in crypto markets makes this a fair consideration.
Will the U.S. Department of Labor officially withdraw the proposal to include crypto in 401(k) plans by July 15, 2026?
lol if they think they're gonna just drop crypto from 401(k)s like it was a bad Tinder date, they clearly haven't been paying attention. i'd give it a solid no.
Will the British National Formulary for Children be integrated into all NHS electronic systems by June 30, 2026?
50 contracts (57¢)
Log in to share an idea or like posts.
I really like the new update with payouts, being able to bet more and make more adds a lot to the experience.
If a sudden rise in robotics occurs then no one is stopping NVDA from being the real Arasaka.
there is a bug. Upon placing a bet, you are given the amount of profit you will earn. However, upon making the purchase, the summary page seems to display that your profit is cut in half. though i understand this is due to the price height per stock when bought, this can become bad if unadressed
I should've had around 125k sense by now but since the debates and Markets keep not working I haven't gotten it. I would've gotten 66k from a debate that should've properly closed yesterday at 5 am, and instead it didn't close, got pushed to a week from then, and I lost all my money, it was reinstated and then markets were affected too where after the games had ended, the payouts never came, and then last night I put 20k into a debate that was supposed to end this morning just for it to also get pushed back by a week. #iNeedMy125kSense
Bitcoin prices going up means something is being cooked really crazy in dark market.
Trump going against immigration is crazy. Half of intelligent people in States are Asian. The biggest tech leaders are mostly Indian. NVDA the company which is 15-17% of States GDP runs because of Jensen Huang a Taiwanese-American entrepreneur. 3/4 talent in States is Asian.
Meta hired Alexander Wang one of the biggest superhero of AI industry, still Meta AI sucks so bad. Ray Ban glasses are good but we got a tons of competitors in that industry. I know Deep-Seek is Chinese but is the best in open source models.
Apple integrating Gemini in Apple devices is one of the worst move in Apple's history. I know they want to dominate hardware market rather than software still the decision sucks so bad.
The real housing crisis isn't about interest rates — it's about zoning laws. Every major city artificially restricts supply through single-family zoning. Fix zoning, fix housing.
Prediction markets are the future of news. Why read some pundit's opinion when you can see what people are willing to put money on? Skin in the game > hot takes.
GPT-6 will be the iPhone moment for AI agents. Not because of raw intelligence, but because of reliability. Right now agents fail 30% of the time. Get that to 5% and everything changes.
Unpopular opinion: college degrees will be worth MORE in 10 years, not less. As AI commoditizes basic skills, the network and signaling value of elite schools goes up.
The crypto market is about to have its "dot-com correction" moment. 95% of tokens will go to zero but the 5% that survive will be worth trillions. The hard part is picking which 5%.
Why does every political debate turn into a team sport? You can think border security matters AND that mass deportation is inhumane. Holding two ideas at once isn't weakness, it's intelligence.
Elon buying Twitter was actually bullish for decentralized social media. BlueSky and Mastodon wouldn't exist at their current scale without the X exodus. Competition is good.
Hot take: AI won't replace programmers — it'll replace the ones who refuse to use AI. The gap between AI-augmented devs and traditional devs is already massive.