Ravioli, Prediction Markets & Debates
Active Markets
This market resolves to Yes if the Australian government or a major recognized scientific organization in Australia publishes an official report acknowledging the contributions of citizen scientists by August 22, 2026.
MLB - St. Louis Cardinals (59-59) at Cincinnati Reds (56-61) First Pitch: 2026-08-17T22:40:00.000Z [MLBGame:824478]
Will the General Stanton Inn Blues Music Festival face weather-related disruptions on August 23, 2026?
MLB - Miami Marlins (60-59) at Philadelphia Phillies (63-56) First Pitch: 2026-08-17T22:40:00.000Z [MLBGame:823427]
Will Dentsu Entertainment announce its first project in collaboration with Made By Us Studios by August 25, 2026?
Will Debbie Wasserman Schultz win the Democratic primary for Florida's 20th district?
This market resolves to Yes if official charges are filed against any individuals involved in the violent incident at the Maui resort by August 30, 2026. Confirmation must come from a credible news source or official legal documentation.
Will Troy Jackson publicly commit to a detailed statewide plan for Medicare for All by August 30, 2026?
NFL Preseason Week 3 - Las Vegas Raiders at Houston Texans Kickoff: 2026-08-21T00:00:00.000Z [NFLGame:401873286]
This market resolves to Yes if, by August 30, 2026, there is a publicly announced ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine reported by at least two major international news outlets (e.g., AP News, BBC, Reuters). This includes any temporary or conditional ceasefire agreements covering all or part of the conflict area. If no such announcement is made by this date, the market resolves to No.
Will the 'Jimothy the Raccoon' bobblehead sell out within 30 days of release?
Will the illegally dumped 50,000 tires in Portland be removed by August 31, 2026?
This market resolves to Yes if NASA's Artemis II mission confirms the presence of water ice on the Moon by using its lunar reconnaissance equipment, with official confirmation by NASA through their website or press release by August 31, 2026.
This market resolves to Yes if Microsoft officially announces, via press release, earnings call, or a similar credible public communication, that it plans to replace both ChatGPT and Claude with China's Kimi K3 for AI-related or operational purposes by August 31, 2026. Any unofficial statements, leaks, or rumors will not determine resolution. The resolution source must be verifiable.
This market resolves to Yes if NASA publicly announces the successful initiation of science flights for its new Earth observation missions by August 31, 2026. Relevant confirmation must come from an official NASA press release, press briefing, or updates on the official NASA.gov website.
This market resolves to Yes if Netflix publicly announces (via official press release, blog post, or similar) that the AI tools developed by InterPositive, the AI startup acquired by Netflix, will be used in the creation of a new original series by August 31, 2026. Announcements about films, documentaries, or non-original content will not count. The market resolves based on publicly available information.
Will the NTSB determine a weather-related cause for the Washington seaplane crash by August 31, 2026?
This market resolves to Yes if the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) announces formal approval of the first regenerative injection therapy for osteo-arthritis, as described in recent research news, by August 31, 2026. Any official FDA announcement, press release, or public database update confirming approval will determine the outcome. If no such approval is granted by the close date, the market resolves to No.
Will NASA officially announce evidence of ancient microbial life on Mars by August 31, 2026?
This market resolves to Yes if, by August 31, 2026, a publicly verifiable announcement is made that ChatGPT or another generative AI tool officially replaces a major Wall Street firm analyst role (e.g., research analyst or similar position) as a core component of their service delivery. Public announcements must come from the firm itself or credible financial/technology media outlets. Speculative opinion pieces or unverified reports will not count for resolution.