Markets

This market resolves to Yes if SK Hynix's market capitalization surpasses $30 billion on its first week of trading on Nasdaq, by market close on July 14, 2026. Market cap will be confirmed based on publicly available data from Nasdaq or other authoritative financial platforms.

Will Finland approve Tesla's supervised self-driving software before the EU vote on July 15, 2026?

This market resolves to Yes if Finland officially approves Tesla's supervised self-driving software for use before the European Union votes on related regulations on July 15, 2026. Public announcements from the Finnish government or regulatory bodies will be used to determine resolution.

This market resolves to Yes if Jannik Sinner wins the Wimbledon 2026 Men's Singles Final against Alexander Zverev on July 14, 2026. The result will be determined by the official score as announced by Wimbledon after the match concludes.

Will SpaceX's Starlink division achieve a $50 billion valuation by July 15, 2026?

This market resolves to Yes if SpaceX's Starlink division is publicly reported by reputable financial news sources to have a valuation of $50 billion or more by July 15, 2026. Key sources will include financial news outlets like CNBC, Bloomberg, or SEC filings if SpaceX is publicly listed by that time.

This market resolves to Yes if Aroldis Chapman records at least 10 total strikeouts in relief appearances during Major League Baseball games played between July 7 and July 14, 2026, inclusive. Official MLB game statistics will determine the outcome.

This market resolves to Yes if the New York Yankees win their next game on July 14, 2026, against their scheduled opponent, achieving a 6-game winning streak. If the Yankees lose, the market resolves to No. The official game's final outcome (win/loss) will be used for resolution.

This market resolves to Yes if by July 15, 2026, there are any new published studies or reports that specify discoveries about dark energy based on data from the largest 3D map of the universe created using the Dark Energy Spectroscopic Instrument (DESI).

This market resolves to Yes if the World Health Organization reports, by July 15, 2026, that global malaria incidence trends have reversed (i.e., show a decrease) compared to the previous upward trend noted since 2015.

This market resolves to Yes if Mayor Freddie O'Connell's proposed legislation to move the city's top entertainment official under his office is passed by the Metro Council by July 15, 2026. If the legislation is not passed by this date, the market resolves to No.

Will Amgen's rare disease drug remain on the market in Japan by July 15, 2026?

This market resolves to Yes if Amgen’s rare disease drug is not withdrawn from the Japanese market by July 15, 2026, either due to regulatory action or the company's decision in response to the recent safety concerns.

Will the US Coast Guard find missing American Lynette Hooker by July 15, 2026?

This market resolves to Yes if the US Coast Guard officially confirms by July 15, 2026, that they have found Lynette Hooker, who is currently missing. Any such confirmation from official US Coast Guard communications or their official spokesperson will be considered valid for resolution.

Will a ceasefire between Israel and Hezbollah be established by July 15, 2026?

This market resolves to Yes if a formal ceasefire agreement between Israel and Hezbollah is publicly announced and confirmed by any of the involved governments or a credible international organization by July 15, 2026. Any continued hostilities or absence of such an announcement will result in a No resolution.

Will Typhoon Bavi make landfall in Taiwan as a Category 4 storm or higher by July 16, 2026?

This market resolves to Yes if Typhoon Bavi is officially recorded as making landfall in Taiwan as a Category 4 storm or higher (maximum sustained winds of at least 130 mph or 209 km/h) by July 16, 2026. If the typhoon does not make landfall in Taiwan or does so at a lower category, this market resolves to No. Official confirmation will come from the Taiwan Central Weather Bureau or other widely recognized meteorological authorities.

Will substantive international pressure force Russia to withdraw military forces from Ukraine by July 15, 2026?

This market resolves to Yes if Russia officially announces or demonstrates a significant military withdrawal from Ukraine as a result of international pressure by July 15, 2026. This includes official statements from the Russian government or verifiable military movements confirmed by reliable sources.

Will the U.S. Department of Labor officially withdraw the proposal to include crypto in 401(k) plans by July 15, 2026?

This market resolves to Yes if the U.S. Department of Labor publicly announces they are withdrawing the proposal allowing 401(k) investments in cryptocurrency by July 15, 2026. This follows pressure from Congressional Democrats who oppose the proposal for its potential risks to retirement savings.

This market resolves to Yes if the film 'Michael' surpasses 'The Super Mario Galaxy Movie' in worldwide box office earnings and becomes the highest-grossing film of 2026 by July 15, 2026. Box office figures will be based on publicly available data from reputable sources such as Box Office Mojo or Deadline.

Will 'Screen Time' surpass 200 million views on TikTok by July 15, 2026?

This market resolves to Yes if Issa Rae's TikTok micro-drama 'Screen Time' reaches or exceeds 200 million views on TikTok by July 15, 2026, according to publicly available data from TikTok or Hoorae Media.

Will Bitcoin miner Bitdeer sell all BTC it mines in the week ending July 14, 2026?

This market resolves to Yes if Bitcoin mining company Bitdeer publicly confirms that it has sold 100% of the Bitcoin it mines during the week ending on July 14, 2026. Confirmation must come from an official company statement, regulatory filing, or credible financial news outlet reporting on Bitdeer's activities.

This market resolves to Yes if a solution to the long-standing 80-year-old math problem, claimed to be solved by AI, is published in a recognized peer-reviewed mathematics journal by July 15, 2026. Verification will be based on announcements from credible sources or the publication itself.

Will the United States House of Representatives pass a resolution further limiting military action in Iran by July 15, 2026?

This market resolves to Yes if, by July 15, 2026, the United States House of Representatives passes a new resolution or bill explicitly aimed at further limiting or curtailing the President's military actions in Iran beyond what is currently established. Official confirmation will be based on public records or credible reporting.

This market resolves to Yes if, by July 15, 2026, there is a public announcement from the research team or an associated institution stating that the 'living bandage' is ready for clinical trials. This decision should be verifiable through credible news sources or official statements.

This market resolves to Yes if the IMDb viewer rating for 'Scream 7' is 7.0 or higher as of July 15, 2026. IMDb ratings are publicly available and can be verified on the official IMDb website.