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Will Nancy Guthrie be found safe by March 31, 2026?

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About this market

This market resolves to Yes if Nancy Guthrie, who has been reported missing, is found safe by March 31, 2026. Confirmation must come from a credible news source or law enforcement agency stating that she has been located and is safe. If no such confirmation is available by the end date, the market will resolve to No.

Rules

  • Market closes at 3/31/2026.
  • Logic weighted resolution applies.

Comments & Analysis

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vir
2/18/2026
Logic: 83/100

I don't think so. Chances are that she's dead. There's a huge manhunt for her according to Fox, CNN, and other major sources, and she still hasn't been found.

Logic Analysis
Fact Check(30%)
85/100
No Fallacies(25%)
80/100
Relevance(25%)
90/100
Logic/Emotion(20%)
75/100

Rationale:The comment provides a factual basis by referencing major news sources, which supports the claim of an ongoing manhunt. However, the conclusion that she is likely dead is speculative and not fully supported by evidence, slightly affecting the logic and emotion balance. The comment is directly relevant to the market question.

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Will Nancy Guthrie be found safe by March 31, 2026?

Cents
How many cents?
¢
You'll get18.69% of a share
Avg price54¢/share
Trading fee1¢
You'll spend10¢
If you win19¢
Your profit+9¢

Will Nancy Guthrie be found safe by March 31, 2026?

Cents
How many cents?
¢
You'll get18.69% of a share
Avg price54¢/share
Trading fee1¢
You'll spend10¢
If you win19¢
Your profit+9¢