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Will GPT-6 be released before July 2026?

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About this market

Predicting the release window of OpenAI's next major model.

Rules

  • Market closes at 7/23/2026.
  • Logic weighted resolution applies.

Comments & Analysis

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vir
1/24/2026
Logic: 100/100

Verification Test Comment 2

vir
2/18/2026
Logic: 17/100

you are a Nice person

Logic Analysis
Fact Check(20%)
20/100
No Fallacies(30%)
20/100
Relevance(30%)
10/100
Logic/Emotion(20%)
20/100

Rationale:The comment 'you are a Nice person' is a low-effort statement that does not provide any factual information or logical analysis relevant to the market question about GPT-6. It lacks relevance and logical reasoning, hence the desaturated scores. The weights emphasize relevance and logical fallacies to penalize the lack of connection to the market topic.

vir
1/24/2026
Logic: 0/100

this will get a 10/10 score.

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Will GPT-6 be released before July 2026?

Cents
How many cents?
¢
You'll get18.69% of a share
Avg price54¢/share
Trading fee1¢
You'll spend10¢
If you win19¢
Your profit+9¢

Will GPT-6 be released before July 2026?

Cents
How many cents?
¢
You'll get18.69% of a share
Avg price54¢/share
Trading fee1¢
You'll spend10¢
If you win19¢
Your profit+9¢