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Will the US Federal Reserve raise interest rates by 0.5% or more in Q2 2026?

Will the US Federal Reserve raise interest rates by 0.5% or more in Q2 2026?

Cents
How many cents?
¢
You'll get18.69% of a share
Avg price54¢/share
Trading fee1¢
You'll spend10¢
If you win19¢
Your profit+9¢

About this market

This market resolves to Yes if the US Federal Reserve announces an increase in its target for the federal funds rate by 0.5% or more during the second quarter of 2026 (April 1, 2026, to June 30, 2026). If no such announcement is made, the market resolves to No.

Rules

  • Market closes at 6/30/2026.
  • Logic weighted resolution applies.

Comments & Analysis

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Will the US Federal Reserve raise interest rates by 0.5% or more in Q2 2026?

Cents
How many cents?
¢
You'll get18.69% of a share
Avg price54¢/share
Trading fee1¢
You'll spend10¢
If you win19¢
Your profit+9¢