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Will Iran conduct a cyberattack on US soil leading to significant infrastructure disruption by September 2026?

Will Iran conduct a cyberattack on US soil leading to significant infrastructure disruption by September 2026?

Cents
How many cents?
¢
You'll get18.69% of a share
Avg price54¢/share
Trading fee1¢
You'll spend10¢
If you win19¢
Your profit+9¢

About this market

This market resolves to Yes if verified reports confirm that a cyberattack attributed to Iran causes significant disruptions to critical infrastructure within the United States, such as the power grid, water supply, or major communication networks, by September 30, 2026. Significant disruption is defined as causing service outages or operational challenges lasting more than 24 hours. The determination of the cyberattack's origin and impact will be based on official sources and reports from credible cyber security agencies.

Rules

  • Market closes at 9/30/2026.
  • Logic weighted resolution applies.

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Will Iran conduct a cyberattack on US soil leading to significant infrastructure disruption by September 2026?

Cents
How many cents?
¢
You'll get18.69% of a share
Avg price54¢/share
Trading fee1¢
You'll spend10¢
If you win19¢
Your profit+9¢