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Will Bitcoin's price exceed $100,000 by December 31, 2026?

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About this market

This market resolves to Yes if the price of Bitcoin reaches or surpasses $100,000 on any major cryptocurrency exchange by the end of December 31, 2026. Price verification will be based on data from recognized exchanges such as Coinbase, Binance, or Kraken.

Rules

  • Market closes at 12/31/2026.
  • Logic weighted resolution applies.

Comments & Analysis

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vir
3/15/2026
Logic: 67/100

unlikely. it has been going down a lot lately

Logic Analysis
Fact Check(20%)
60/100
No Fallacies(30%)
70/100
Relevance(30%)
80/100
Logic/Emotion(20%)
50/100

Rationale:The comment makes a factual claim about Bitcoin's recent price trend, which is partially accurate but lacks specific data or time frame. It avoids major logical fallacies but is somewhat simplistic in its reasoning. The comment is relevant to the market question but relies heavily on recent trends without deeper analysis, leading to a lower score in logic/emotion balance.

vir
3/15/2026
Logic: 20/100

the chances of it happening ar etruly minimal imo

Logic Analysis
Fact Check(25%)
20/100
No Fallacies(25%)
20/100
Relevance(25%)
20/100
Logic/Emotion(25%)
20/100

Rationale:The comment is a low-effort expression of personal opinion without any supporting evidence or logical reasoning. It lacks factual accuracy, logical structure, and relevance to the market question beyond a vague assertion. As such, it has been desaturated to reflect its minimal contribution to the discussion.

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Will Bitcoin's price exceed $100,000 by December 31, 2026?

Cents
How many cents?
¢
You'll get18.69% of a share
Avg price54¢/share
Trading fee1¢
You'll spend10¢
If you win19¢
Your profit+9¢

Will Bitcoin's price exceed $100,000 by December 31, 2026?

Cents
How many cents?
¢
You'll get18.69% of a share
Avg price54¢/share
Trading fee1¢
You'll spend10¢
If you win19¢
Your profit+9¢