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Will US inflation rate exceed 5% in the first quarter of 2026?

Will US inflation rate exceed 5% in the first quarter of 2026?

Cents
How many cents?
¢
You'll get18.69% of a share
Avg price54¢/share
Trading fee1¢
You'll spend10¢
If you win19¢
Your profit+9¢

About this market

This market resolves to Yes if the US Bureau of Labor Statistics reports a year-over-year inflation rate exceeding 5% for any month in Q1 2026 (January, February, or March) in their Consumer Price Index release. Otherwise, it resolves to No.

Rules

  • Market closes at 4/15/2026.
  • Logic weighted resolution applies.

Comments & Analysis

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Will US inflation rate exceed 5% in the first quarter of 2026?

Cents
How many cents?
¢
You'll get18.69% of a share
Avg price54¢/share
Trading fee1¢
You'll spend10¢
If you win19¢
Your profit+9¢