Will the AI-discovered natural molecule be approved for weight loss treatment by December 31, 2026?

Will China's government announce new regulations on experimental gene therapies by August 31, 2026?

This market resolves to Yes if an official announcement of new regulations or restrictions on experimental gene therapies is made by China's government and reported by major reputable news outlets (e.g., Xinhua News, SCMP) by August 31, 2026. The market resolves to No if no such announcement is made by the deadline.

Will new regulations on gene therapy clinical trials be announced in China by September 30, 2026?

This market resolves to Yes if the Chinese government publicly announces new regulations or guidelines for the approval, oversight, or conduct of gene therapy clinical trials by September 30, 2026. The announcement must be reported in credible news outlets or official government channels.

Will the U.S. allocate at least $1 billion more in AI-focused 'Genesis Mission' grants by September 30, 2026?

This market resolves to Yes if, by September 30, 2026, public announcements or official documentation confirm that the U.S. government has allocated at least an additional $1 billion specifically toward AI projects under the 'Genesis Mission' program since its initial unveiling in July 2026. Allocations must be explicitly tied to this initiative.

Will the restoration of the Mastodonsaurus skeleton in Warsaw be completed by September 30, 2026?

This market resolves to Yes if the restoration of the Mastodonsaurus skeleton at the Copernicus Science Center in Warsaw, Poland, is officially declared complete by September 30, 2026. Verification will be based on announcements or reports from the Copernicus Science Center, the Polish Academy of Sciences, or other reliable media outlets. This market resolves to No if the restoration is not completed by this date.

This market resolves to Yes if NASA publicly announces new findings or support stemming from their funding or involvement in a study about controlled burns and their role in wildfire management (such as their effects on giant sequoias or similar ecosystems) by August 31, 2026. Announcements must come through an official NASA outlet (e.g., nasa.gov, press release, or major conference).

This market resolves to Yes if NASA publicly announces the successful initiation of science flights for its new Earth observation missions by August 31, 2026. Relevant confirmation must come from an official NASA press release, press briefing, or updates on the official NASA.gov website.