Markets

Will any U.S. hospital perform a fully remote robotic surgery with the da Vinci 5 system by January 31, 2027?

Yes0%No0%
Loading...

About this market

This market resolves to Yes if any U.S. hospital performs a fully remote (surgeon operating from a physically separate location) robotic surgery using the da Vinci 5 system by January 31, 2027. Verification will depend on public announcements, press releases, or trusted reporting from reputable medical or news organizations.

Rules

  • Market closes January 31, 2027 (ET).
  • Logic weighted resolution applies.
Please log in to comment.
futureballer23Sep 28
Logic: 84/100

I think it's pretty ambitious to expect fully remote robotic surgeries with the da Vinci 5 system by the end of January 2027. While the tech has advanced, there are still big hurdles in terms of regulatory approval and ensuring patient safety. Plus, I wonder how hospitals will manage training and integration into their existing systems. The market price seems high based on the current landscape; I would bet against this happening so soon.

Logic Analysis
Fact Check(30%)
80/100
No Fallacies(25%)
90/100
Relevance(25%)
85/100
Logic/Emotion(20%)
80/100

Rationale:The comment presents a reasonable perspective on the challenges of fully remote robotic surgeries, particularly regarding regulatory approval and training, which are valid concerns. The claims are mostly accurate, though they lack specific evidence or data to support the assertions about the current landscape. The weights reflect a balanced focus on factual accuracy and logical reasoning, given the speculative nature of the market question.

techgenius03Nov 2
Logic: 83/100

I doubt this will happen by January 2027; a lot of factors need to align and the tech isn't quite there yet.

Logic Analysis
Fact Check(25%)
70/100
No Fallacies(25%)
90/100
Relevance(25%)
90/100
Logic/Emotion(25%)
80/100

Rationale:The comment expresses skepticism about the likelihood of fully remote robotic surgeries occurring by the specified date, which is a relevant perspective. While it lacks specific evidence to support the claim about technology not being 'quite there yet,' it does not contain logical fallacies and is directly related to the market question. The weights are evenly distributed as the comment balances factual skepticism with logical reasoning.

selenawNov 2
Logic: 71/100

idk, seems kinda ambitious to think they'll pull this off by early 2027; like, tech's getting better but that fast?

Logic Analysis
Fact Check(20%)
60/100
No Fallacies(30%)
70/100
Relevance(30%)
80/100
Logic/Emotion(20%)
70/100

Rationale:The comment expresses skepticism about the feasibility of fully remote robotic surgery by early 2027, which is a relevant concern but lacks specific factual backing. The comment does not contain major logical fallacies but relies on a subjective assessment of technological advancement. The weights reflect a balance between relevance and the need for logical reasoning, given the speculative nature of the claim.

memeologistSep 28
Logic: 68/100

this feels like a stretch tbh. i mean, remote robotic surgeries are cool and all but hospitals gotta be super cautious with this tech. i’d say prob not by then.

Logic Analysis
Fact Check(30%)
60/100
No Fallacies(25%)
70/100
Relevance(25%)
80/100
Logic/Emotion(20%)
60/100

Rationale:The comment expresses skepticism about the likelihood of hospitals performing fully remote robotic surgeries by the specified date, which is a relevant perspective. However, it lacks specific factual support for the claim that hospitals will be 'super cautious' and does not provide evidence for the prediction. The weights reflect a balance between relevance and the need for factual backing, given the speculative nature of the comment.

memelord99Sep 30
Logic: 67/100

nah, i really doubt this is happening by early 2027. the tech is cool and all but hospitals aren't gonna be rushing into remote surgeries just yet.

Logic Analysis
Fact Check(30%)
60/100
No Fallacies(30%)
70/100
Relevance(20%)
80/100
Logic/Emotion(20%)
60/100

Rationale:The comment expresses skepticism about the likelihood of remote robotic surgeries occurring by early 2027, which is a valid opinion but lacks specific evidence to support the claim. The reasoning is somewhat logical, but it relies on general assumptions about hospital behavior rather than concrete data. The weights reflect a balanced approach, emphasizing the need for factual support while acknowledging the logical reasoning present in the skepticism.

vibecheck99Nov 12
Logic: 50/100

who looked at this market and went sure

Logic Analysis
Fact Check(25%)
50/100
No Fallacies(25%)
50/100
Relevance(25%)
50/100
Logic/Emotion(25%)
50/100

Rationale:Scoring temporarily unavailable.

scriptwriterjdNov 10
Logic: 50/100

resolution criteria is clean. no ambiguity risk.

Logic Analysis
Fact Check(25%)
50/100
No Fallacies(25%)
50/100
Relevance(25%)
50/100
Logic/Emotion(25%)
50/100

Rationale:Scoring temporarily unavailable.

theatrenerd15Nov 10
Logic: 50/100

Worth noting the implied probability here doesn't match the consensus forecast from polling aggregators.

Logic Analysis
Fact Check(25%)
50/100
No Fallacies(25%)
50/100
Relevance(25%)
50/100
Logic/Emotion(25%)
50/100

Rationale:Scoring temporarily unavailable.

theatrenerd15Nov 10
Logic: 50/100

Holding for now. The ev on either side is closer to break-even than people are saying.

Logic Analysis
Fact Check(25%)
50/100
No Fallacies(25%)
50/100
Relevance(25%)
50/100
Logic/Emotion(25%)
50/100

Rationale:Scoring temporarily unavailable.

sardonicsamNov 10
Logic: 50/100

pricing is genuinely a coinflip but ok

Logic Analysis
Fact Check(25%)
50/100
No Fallacies(25%)
50/100
Relevance(25%)
50/100
Logic/Emotion(25%)
50/100

Rationale:Scoring temporarily unavailable.