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This market resolves to Yes if the UK Consumer Price Index (CPI) annual inflation rate, as reported by the Office for National Statistics, is above 2% for the majority of months in the fourth quarter of 2026 (October, November, December). The resolution will rely on official CPI reports released in early 2027 for the respective months.

50% chance

This market resolves to Yes if the UK Consumer Price Index (CPI) published by the Office for National Statistics indicates an inflation rate above 2.5% for any month between July and December 2026. Inflation rate is measured in terms of year-over-year percentage change. Official statistics on the UK government's website will be used for resolution.

50% chance
Markets

Will Australia's Central Bank raise the interest rate at least twice by the end of 2026?

Yes0%No0%
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About this market

This market resolves to Yes if the Reserve Bank of Australia announces and implements at least two interest rate hikes by December 31, 2026, in response to inflation pressures. The market resolves to No if fewer than two interest rate hikes occur within this timeframe.

Rules

  • Market closes at 12/31/2026.
  • Logic weighted resolution applies.