Will Google's Gemini 3 surpass GPT-4 in benchmark tests by the end of 2026?

This market resolves to Yes if Google's Gemini 3 is officially shown to outperform OpenAI's GPT-4 in recognized AI benchmark tests (such as the Stanford Question Answering Dataset or MMLU) by December 31, 2026. The assessment must be based on results published in peer-reviewed journals or credible industry publications.