Will definitive evidence for black holes predating the Big Bang be found by the end of 2027?

This market resolves to Yes if, by August 13, 2027, the hypothesis that black holes older than the Big Bang explain dark matter is widely accepted by the scientific community, as reflected in recognized scientific consensus publications and statements by major scientific organizations.

This market resolves to Yes if a scientific demonstration of a practical quantum technology application using entanglement created by sunlight is publicly announced by December 31, 2027. Practical applications may include quantum communication or computing tasks. The announcement must come from a credible scientific organization or journal.

This market resolves to Yes if any company or research organization publicly announces a commercial application utilizing quantum entanglement created by sunlight, by August 1, 2027.

This market resolves to Yes if during COP31, which is scheduled for November 2026, a major participating country or coalition announces a new substantial climate policy specifically addressing the recent acceleration in global warming, as reported by the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research. The policy must be officially announced and publicly verified during the conference dates.

This market resolves to Yes if an official report states that the global average temperature has reached or exceeded 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels by December 31, 2027. This is based on data from leading climate monitoring organizations such as NASA, NOAA, or the IPCC.

This market resolves to Yes if the National Science Foundation announces the continuation or expansion of their new Ph.D. model program by August 1, 2028, indicating it has met or exceeded its objectives outlined in the pilot phase.