Will Disney+ reach 500M subscribers by 2027?

This market resolves to Yes if Jared Harris's legal action against the AI podcast for using his likeness without permission is settled, either through a court decision or an out-of-court agreement, by December 31, 2026. If no official resolution is publicly announced by this date, the market resolves to No.

This market resolves to Yes if the punk and post-punk visual art exhibition curated by Philip Hoare reports over 50,000 visitors by the end of July 2026. Official visitor numbers will be sourced from announcements made by the exhibition organizers or reputable news outlets.

This market resolves to Yes if the True/False Film Fest, held in Columbia, Missouri, announces the introduction of more than 5 new categories for documentaries or film screenings by December 31, 2027. This includes any newly created sections or thematic focuses distinct from existing categories as of March 2026.

This market resolves to Yes if Kate Middleton makes an official royal appearance wearing traditional Welsh attire by December 31, 2026. An official appearance is defined as one where Kate Middleton, as Princess of Wales, is representing the British Royal Family in an official capacity. Evidence must be from a reputable news source with photographic confirmation.

This market resolves to Yes if Them, under the new ownership of Equalpride, reports or is verified by a reliable source to have surpassed 2 million monthly unique visitors by December 31, 2026. Verification can come from industry analytics reports, a public statement from Equalpride, or coverage by accredited media outlets.

This market resolves to Yes if Equalpride successfully launches a new event series focused on LGBTQ+ culture under the 'Them' brand by December 31, 2026. The event series must be officially announced and publicly accessible. If no such event series is launched by the deadline, the market resolves to No.