Markets

Will Fever announce a new major partnership with a global entertainment brand by December 31, 2026?

Yes0%No0%
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About this market

This market resolves to Yes if Fever publicly announces a new major partnership with a global entertainment brand (e.g., a well-known entity in sports, film, music, art, gaming, or cultural events) by December 31, 2026. The partnership must be officially confirmed via an official announcement from Fever or the partner organization. Existing partnerships, such as those listed in the news (e.g., Formula 1, Netflix, FIFA Arab Cup), do not qualify as 'new' for the purposes of this market.

Rules

  • Market closes December 31, 2026 (ET).
  • Logic weighted resolution applies.
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devrajpOct 1
Logic: 83/100

The current price suggests a 60% chance for this partnership to happen. Given Fever's track record of teaming up with notable brands in the last couple of years, it seems likely, but I think that price is a bit high. There's a chance they won’t secure anything big this year, especially with market fluctuations. Would be interesting to see who potential partners might be.

Logic Analysis
Fact Check(30%)
80/100
No Fallacies(25%)
90/100
Relevance(25%)
85/100
Logic/Emotion(20%)
75/100

Rationale:The comment provides a reasonable assessment of the market price and Fever's past partnerships, which supports a mostly accurate fact check. It avoids logical fallacies and remains relevant to the market question, though it introduces some uncertainty about the future. The weights reflect a balanced focus on factual accuracy and logical reasoning, with a slight emphasis on relevance given the speculative nature of potential partnerships.

Logic: 70/100

i mean, fever's decent but a major partnership seems way too optimistic. what's this based on, vibes?

Logic Analysis
Fact Check(25%)
60/100
No Fallacies(25%)
70/100
Relevance(30%)
80/100
Logic/Emotion(20%)
65/100

Rationale:The comment expresses skepticism about Fever's potential for a major partnership, but it lacks specific evidence or data to support this view, leading to a mixed factual score. It does not contain major logical fallacies but relies somewhat on emotional appeal. The weights reflect a balance between relevance and the need for logical reasoning, given the speculative nature of the comment.

Logic: 70/100

not sure why the odds are so low, seems like a big opportunity here with how the entertainment scene is going

Logic Analysis
Fact Check(20%)
60/100
No Fallacies(25%)
70/100
Relevance(30%)
80/100
Logic/Emotion(25%)
65/100

Rationale:The comment expresses a subjective opinion about the odds and the potential opportunity in the entertainment scene, which lacks specific factual backing, hence the moderate score for Fact Check. It does not contain major logical fallacies but relies on a general sentiment, leading to a slightly lower score for Logic/Emotion balance. The weights reflect the importance of relevance and logical coherence in this context, given the speculative nature of the comment.

Logic: 50/100

Spread is wide. Probably an MM stepped away.

Logic Analysis
Fact Check(25%)
50/100
No Fallacies(25%)
50/100
Relevance(25%)
50/100
Logic/Emotion(25%)
50/100

Rationale:Scoring temporarily unavailable.

Logic: 50/100

load it up

Logic Analysis
Fact Check(25%)
50/100
No Fallacies(25%)
50/100
Relevance(25%)
50/100
Logic/Emotion(25%)
50/100

Rationale:Scoring temporarily unavailable.

Logic: 50/100

the other book has this 2c lower. slight arb.

Logic Analysis
Fact Check(25%)
50/100
No Fallacies(25%)
50/100
Relevance(25%)
50/100
Logic/Emotion(25%)
50/100

Rationale:Scoring temporarily unavailable.

Logic: 50/100

we love a 50/50 with no useful info 💀

Logic Analysis
Fact Check(25%)
50/100
No Fallacies(25%)
50/100
Relevance(25%)
50/100
Logic/Emotion(25%)
50/100

Rationale:Scoring temporarily unavailable.

Logic: 50/100

reasonable people can disagree but the current price seems closer to fair than i would have guessed.

Logic Analysis
Fact Check(25%)
50/100
No Fallacies(25%)
50/100
Relevance(25%)
50/100
Logic/Emotion(25%)
50/100

Rationale:Scoring temporarily unavailable.

Logic: 50/100

bookmarking this so future me can laugh at past me

Logic Analysis
Fact Check(25%)
50/100
No Fallacies(25%)
50/100
Relevance(25%)
50/100
Logic/Emotion(25%)
50/100

Rationale:Scoring temporarily unavailable.

Logic: 50/100

Closing out. Realized about half the edge.

Logic Analysis
Fact Check(25%)
50/100
No Fallacies(25%)
50/100
Relevance(25%)
50/100
Logic/Emotion(25%)
50/100

Rationale:Scoring temporarily unavailable.