Will Google or Meta form an eligible agreement under the Australian News Levy by November 30, 2026?

Will the new Australian tech levy significantly impact major tech companies' revenues by December 31, 2026?

This market resolves to Yes if major tech companies (e.g., Meta, Google) officially report a significant impact on their revenues due to the new Australian tech levy in their earnings or official statements by the specified date. A significant impact is defined as an official acknowledgment in earnings calls or statements that the levy materially affected their reported revenue.

Will Microsoft confirm the Windows 11 price increase for PC manufacturers by September 20, 2026?

This market resolves to Yes if Microsoft officially confirms, through a public statement or press release, that the Windows 11 licensing fees for PC manufacturers will increase, by September 20, 2026. Unofficial reports, anonymous confirmations, or leaks do not count for resolution.

Will Google DeepMind close the AI performance gap with OpenAI by the end of 2026?

This market resolves to Yes if a credible and widely recognized source, such as a major tech publication or an industry report, confirms that Google DeepMind's AI models match or exceed the performance of comparable models from OpenAI by December 31, 2026.

Will a major U.S. state sue another Big Tech company over child safety concerns by the end of 2026?

This market resolves to Yes if any major U.S. state government files a lawsuit against another major Big Tech company (e.g., Google, Apple, Amazon, etc.) over child safety concerns by December 31, 2026. A major state is defined as being among the top 10 by population according to the most recent census data.

This market resolves to Yes if all areas of Kaynor Tech, including the gymnasium and other affected spaces, are reported as available for use by October 15, 2026. This includes spaces that were impacted by the water main breaks, such as the gymnasium and interior hallways requiring wall or flooring repairs.

Will Alphabet return to positive cash flow by the end of Q3 2026?

This market resolves to Yes if Alphabet reports positive cash flow for Q3 2026 in its earnings release. Alphabet experienced its first-ever negative cash flow in a recent quarter due to increased spending on AI and cloud technologies. The result will be determined when Alphabet releases its Q3 2026 earnings, typically in late October.