Markets
Will a gravitational wave detection in 2026 provide direct evidence for a second-generation black hole merger by August 31, 2026?
Yes0%No0%
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About this market
This market resolves to Yes if by August 31, 2026, official research, based on gravitational wave detection data from 2026, identifies and confirms direct evidence of a second-generation black hole merger (a black hole created through the merger of prior black holes). Confirmation must come from a reputable source such as LIGO, Virgo, KAGRA, or an internationally recognized peer-reviewed publication.
Rules
- Market closes at 8/31/2026.
- Logic weighted resolution applies.
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