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This market resolves to 'Yes' if the United Nations imposes any form of sanctions (economic, diplomatic, or otherwise) on Malaysia specifically in response to its recent deportation activities, as publicly reported by reputable sources, by December 31, 2026. Otherwise, the market resolves to 'No.'

35% chance

This market resolves to 'Yes' if an official, publicly acknowledged diplomatic agreement is reached between the United States and Iran, addressing the current tensions and/or war, by December 31, 2026. The resolution will be based on credible reporting from major global news outlets such as Reuters, BBC, or AP. If no such agreement is reached or announced by this date, the market resolves to 'No.'

40% chance
Markets

Will the Hawk Fire near Reno, Nevada, be contained by September 15, 2026?

Yes0%No0%
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About this market

This market resolves to Yes if the Hawk Fire near Reno, Nevada, is declared contained by responsible authorities by the end of September 15, 2026. Containment must be officially confirmed by local authorities such as the Nevada Division of Forestry or the National Interagency Fire Center.

Rules

  • Market closes at 9/15/2026.
  • Logic weighted resolution applies.