Will Hungary's Prime Minister Péter Magyar propose a bill to replace the presidency with a different system of government by September 30, 2026?

This market resolves to Yes if, by January 31, 2027, there is verifiable and widely reported news that Mohamed Nur, as the parliamentary speaker, has facilitated a consensus or agreement on a significant policy issue between the Somali ruling coalition and the opposition. Significant policy issues include but are not limited to national security, economic reform, or constitutional amendments.

Will the U.S. Congress introduce a bill for proportional representation by October 15, 2026?

This market resolves to Yes if a formal bill proposing proportional representation for the U.S. House elections is introduced in either chamber of Congress by October 15, 2026. The bill must be officially recorded in the Congressional records.

Will Jeanine Pirro resign as U.S. Attorney for the District of Columbia by October 1, 2026?

This market resolves to Yes if Jeanine Pirro resigns from her position as U.S. Attorney for the District of Columbia on or before October 1, 2026. If she remains in her position past this date, the market resolves to No.

Will the U.S. Senate approve the sanctions bill by October 1, 2026?

This market resolves to Yes if the U.S. Senate approves the sanctions bill before the end of October 1, 2026. The bill must pass with a majority vote and be documented in the official records by this date.

This market resolves to Yes if President Trump's approval rating, according to CNN's poll, falls below 30% on any date before or on September 15, 2026. Otherwise, it resolves to No.