Markets

Will the International Team win the next Presidents Cup in 2028?

Yes0%No0%
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About this market

This market resolves to Yes if the International Team is announced as the winner of the next Presidents Cup currently scheduled for 2028. The market resolves to No if the United States Team wins or the match ends in a tie. Public announcements or official documentation of results by the tournament organizers will determine the outcome.

Rules

  • Market closes September 30, 2028 (ET).
  • Logic weighted resolution applies.
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Logic: 83/100

The International Team has improved a lot in recent years, but considering the strength of the US players, I still think the odds are better for them; this market seems a bit skewed.

Logic Analysis
Fact Check(30%)
80/100
No Fallacies(25%)
90/100
Relevance(25%)
85/100
Logic/Emotion(20%)
75/100

Rationale:The comment accurately reflects the improvement of the International Team and acknowledges the strength of US players, which is a relevant factor in the market. There are no significant logical fallacies present, and while the emotional appeal is moderate, it does not overshadow the reasoning. The weights reflect a balanced focus on factual accuracy and logical reasoning, given the context of the market question.

Logic: 78/100

tbh, I think the International Team has a decent shot in 2028; they were looking good in the last few tournaments and it's about time they take one.

Logic Analysis
Fact Check(30%)
70/100
No Fallacies(20%)
80/100
Relevance(30%)
90/100
Logic/Emotion(20%)
70/100

Rationale:The comment expresses a personal opinion about the International Team's chances in 2028, referencing their recent performance, which is somewhat verifiable but lacks specific data. The comment is relevant to the market question and does not contain major logical fallacies, though it leans slightly on emotional appeal. The weights reflect a balanced focus on relevance and fact-checking due to the opinion-based nature of the comment.

Logic: 78/100

Nah, I can't see the International Team pulling it off in 2028; they just don't have the same depth like the US team does.

Logic Analysis
Fact Check(30%)
70/100
No Fallacies(25%)
80/100
Relevance(25%)
90/100
Logic/Emotion(20%)
70/100

Rationale:The comment presents a subjective opinion about the International Team's chances in 2028, which is somewhat supported by the general perception of team depth compared to the US team. However, it lacks specific evidence or data to substantiate the claim about depth, leading to a score of 70 for Fact Check. The comment is relevant to the market question and avoids major logical fallacies, but it does rely on a degree of emotional appeal regarding the teams' capabilities. The weights reflect the importance of relevance and logical soundness over strict factual accuracy in this context.

Logic: 77/100

Honestly, I think the pricing on this is wild. The International Team has showed some serious improvements lately but winning in 2028? It's a stretch. I mean, how do they even stack up against the US team? Seems like a gamble.

Logic Analysis
Fact Check(30%)
70/100
No Fallacies(25%)
80/100
Relevance(25%)
85/100
Logic/Emotion(20%)
75/100

Rationale:The comment accurately reflects the uncertainty surrounding the International Team's chances in 2028, acknowledging recent improvements while questioning their competitiveness against the US team. The weights prioritize relevance and logical reasoning, as the comment discusses the market's pricing and the team's potential without relying heavily on emotional appeal. Overall, it presents a balanced view with minor uncertainties.

Logic: 77/100

the international team has been creeping up lately but they haven't really shown they can close the gap against the usa. plus, the pressure is a whole other level for these events. not sure the price makes sense here, feels a bit high.

Logic Analysis
Fact Check(30%)
70/100
No Fallacies(25%)
80/100
Relevance(25%)
85/100
Logic/Emotion(20%)
75/100

Rationale:The comment presents a mostly accurate assessment of the International Team's performance relative to the USA, though it lacks specific data to fully substantiate the claims. It addresses the market question directly by discussing the team's ability to compete and the perceived value of the market price. The weights reflect a balanced focus on relevance and logical reasoning, with some emphasis on factual accuracy given the context of the prediction market.

Logic: 77/100

it's wild that the odds are favoring the international team for the next Presidents Cup, they got wrecked in 2024. maybe there's some hidden talent coming up, but can we really call this a fair price?

Logic Analysis
Fact Check(30%)
70/100
No Fallacies(25%)
80/100
Relevance(25%)
85/100
Logic/Emotion(20%)
75/100

Rationale:The comment raises a valid point about the odds favoring the International Team despite their poor performance in 2024, which is a factual claim that can be verified. However, the mention of 'hidden talent' is speculative and lacks concrete evidence, leading to a slightly lower score for fact-checking. The comment is relevant to the market question and presents a mostly logical argument, though it does contain some emotional appeal regarding fairness in pricing. Weights reflect the importance of factual accuracy and logical coherence given the speculative nature of the comment.

yzmavibesNov 10
Logic: 50/100

every market on this site is the most efficient ever

Logic Analysis
Fact Check(25%)
50/100
No Fallacies(25%)
50/100
Relevance(25%)
50/100
Logic/Emotion(25%)
50/100

Rationale:Scoring temporarily unavailable.

Logic: 50/100

who looked at this market and went sure

Logic Analysis
Fact Check(25%)
50/100
No Fallacies(25%)
50/100
Relevance(25%)
50/100
Logic/Emotion(25%)
50/100

Rationale:Scoring temporarily unavailable.

selenawNov 8
Logic: 50/100

Checked the underlying source. The data is messier than the headline suggests.

Logic Analysis
Fact Check(25%)
50/100
No Fallacies(25%)
50/100
Relevance(25%)
50/100
Logic/Emotion(25%)
50/100

Rationale:Scoring temporarily unavailable.

Logic: 50/100

Volume is up 40% intraday. Worth watching.

Logic Analysis
Fact Check(25%)
50/100
No Fallacies(25%)
50/100
Relevance(25%)
50/100
Logic/Emotion(25%)
50/100

Rationale:Scoring temporarily unavailable.