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This market resolves to 'Yes' if the United Nations imposes any form of sanctions (economic, diplomatic, or otherwise) on Malaysia specifically in response to its recent deportation activities, as publicly reported by reputable sources, by December 31, 2026. Otherwise, the market resolves to 'No.'

35% chance

This market resolves to 'Yes' if an official, publicly acknowledged diplomatic agreement is reached between the United States and Iran, addressing the current tensions and/or war, by December 31, 2026. The resolution will be based on credible reporting from major global news outlets such as Reuters, BBC, or AP. If no such agreement is reached or announced by this date, the market resolves to 'No.'

40% chance
Markets

Will the Iran conflict end by May 31, 2026?

Yes0%No0%
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About this market

This market resolves to Yes if an official agreement or ceasefire is reached and publicly acknowledged by the United States and Iran, ending active combat operations by both countries by the end of May 31, 2026. Official statements from either government's defense or foreign affairs ministries or recognized international organizations will be used for confirmation.

Rules

  • Market closes at 5/31/2026.
  • Logic weighted resolution applies.