This market has settled

Trading has finished, so the result below is final. Here is what you can trade right now.

This market resolves to 'Yes' if the United Nations imposes any form of sanctions (economic, diplomatic, or otherwise) on Malaysia specifically in response to its recent deportation activities, as publicly reported by reputable sources, by December 31, 2026. Otherwise, the market resolves to 'No.'

35% chance

This market resolves to 'Yes' if an official, publicly acknowledged diplomatic agreement is reached between the United States and Iran, addressing the current tensions and/or war, by December 31, 2026. The resolution will be based on credible reporting from major global news outlets such as Reuters, BBC, or AP. If no such agreement is reached or announced by this date, the market resolves to 'No.'

40% chance
Markets

Will the Strait of Hormuz be reopened to international shipping by May 31, 2026?

Yes0%No0%
Loading...

About this market

This market resolves to Yes if, by May 31, 2026, international shipping is officially reported to have resumed passage through the Strait of Hormuz, following its closure due to ongoing conflicts in the region.

Rules

  • Market closes at 5/31/2026.
  • Logic weighted resolution applies.