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This market resolves to 'Yes' if the United Nations imposes any form of sanctions (economic, diplomatic, or otherwise) on Malaysia specifically in response to its recent deportation activities, as publicly reported by reputable sources, by December 31, 2026. Otherwise, the market resolves to 'No.'

35% chance

This market resolves to 'Yes' if an official, publicly acknowledged diplomatic agreement is reached between the United States and Iran, addressing the current tensions and/or war, by December 31, 2026. The resolution will be based on credible reporting from major global news outlets such as Reuters, BBC, or AP. If no such agreement is reached or announced by this date, the market resolves to 'No.'

40% chance
Markets

Will there be a military engagement between the US and Iran in the Strait of Hormuz by May 15, 2026?

Yes0%No0%
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About this market

This market resolves to Yes if any credible news source reports a military engagement between US and Iranian forces in the Strait of Hormuz by May 15, 2026. Military engagement is defined as any event involving direct fire or hostile actions between the official military forces of the United States and Iran.

Rules

  • Market closes at 5/15/2026.
  • Logic weighted resolution applies.