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This market resolves to 'Yes' if a confirmed meeting between Donald Trump and Kim Jong-un occurs by December 31, 2026, as reported by at least two credible news sources. Otherwise, it resolves to 'No'.
This market resolves to Yes if the national average gas price as reported by the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) is above $4.00 per gallon on October 31, 2026. It resolves to No if it is $4.00 or below.
This market resolves to Yes if 95% or more of the households in Hawaii that lost power due to Tropical Storm Lala have their power restored by end of day on September 10, 2026. Verification will be based on reports from Hawaiian Electric Company or other official sources.
This market resolves to Yes if Iran and Oman publicly announce a finalized deal regarding the Strait of Hormuz by November 1, 2026. The market resolves to No if no such announcement is made by this date.
Will there be a military engagement between the US and Iran in the Strait of Hormuz by May 15, 2026?
About this market
This market resolves to Yes if any credible news source reports a military engagement between US and Iranian forces in the Strait of Hormuz by May 15, 2026. Military engagement is defined as any event involving direct fire or hostile actions between the official military forces of the United States and Iran.
Rules
- Market closes at 5/15/2026.
- Logic weighted resolution applies.
Other open markets in World News
Will Trump meet North Korean leader Kim Jong-un by December 31, 2026?
This market resolves to 'Yes' if a confirmed meeting between Donald Trump and Kim Jong-un occurs by December 31, 2026, as reported by at least two credible news sources. Otherwise, it resolves to 'No'.
Will U.S. gas prices average above $4.00 per gallon by October 31, 2026?
This market resolves to Yes if the national average gas price as reported by the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) is above $4.00 per gallon on October 31, 2026. It resolves to No if it is $4.00 or below.
Will Hawaii restore power to 95% of households affected by Tropical Storm Lala by September 10, 2026?
This market resolves to Yes if 95% or more of the households in Hawaii that lost power due to Tropical Storm Lala have their power restored by end of day on September 10, 2026. Verification will be based on reports from Hawaiian Electric Company or other official sources.
Will Iran and Oman finalize a deal on the Strait of Hormuz by November 1, 2026?
This market resolves to Yes if Iran and Oman publicly announce a finalized deal regarding the Strait of Hormuz by November 1, 2026. The market resolves to No if no such announcement is made by this date.
Will the COP17 in Mongolia lead to a new international agreement on land restoration by August 31, 2026?
This market resolves to Yes if an official international agreement or pact is reached at the COP17 in Ulaanbaatar, Mongolia, specifically focusing on land restoration, desertification, or drought management, and is publicly announced by August 31, 2026.
Will the UN Transforming Education Summit + 4 result in an announced funding increase by September 30, 2026?
This market resolves to Yes if, by September 30, 2026, there is a public announcement from the United Nations or relevant education summit officials confirming an increase in funding for education systems as a result of the UN Transforming Education Summit + 4. Otherwise, it resolves to No.