Will a Trump-backed lawsuit challenge the outcome of a key 2024 Senate race by August 31, 2026?

This market resolves to Yes if Ryanair publicly announces the cause of the window dislodgement incident on the Thessaloniki to Memmingen flight (FR1879) before August 15, 2026. This includes statements released by Ryanair directly or confirmed via official aviation authorities or reputable news outlets. If no cause is announced by the deadline, this market will resolve to No.

This market resolves to Yes if Zack Wheeler, pitcher for the Philadelphia Phillies, records 7 or more strikeouts in the game against the Detroit Tigers on July 13, 2026, as per official MLB game stats. Otherwise, it resolves to No. The game is scheduled to take place on July 13, 2026.

This market resolves to Yes if Grady Emerson is selected as the No. 1 overall pick in the 2026 MLB Draft. The draft is scheduled to take place on July 21, 2026. Official confirmation comes from the MLB Draft announcements.

This market resolves to Yes if the New York Yankees win their next game on July 14, 2026, against their scheduled opponent, achieving a 6-game winning streak. If the Yankees lose, the market resolves to No. The official game's final outcome (win/loss) will be used for resolution.

This market resolves to Yes if NASA or an official collaborating research institution publicly announces the identification of the infrared spectral signature detected by the James Webb Space Telescope on Titan and Pluto by August 15, 2026. The identification must be stated explicitly in a credible public release, such as a press release, peer-reviewed paper, or official conference presentation. Otherwise, the market resolves to No.

This market resolves to Yes if British authorities formally charge the 28-year-old man currently arrested in connection with the murder of former MP Ann Widdecombe by July 20, 2026. Official announcements from Devon and Cornwall Police or other credible authorities will determine resolution.