Will Ukraine receive additional Patriot missile interceptors from the U.S. by October 15, 2026?

This market resolves to Yes if the global online grocery market grows by at least 10% in 2027 according to the reports from major market research firms such as Statista, Euromonitor, or equivalent. Official reports typically provide growth rates based on the comparison of gross merchandise volume or total sales from one fiscal year to another.

This market resolves to Yes if the Hawk Fire near Reno, Nevada, is declared contained by responsible authorities by the end of September 15, 2026. Containment must be officially confirmed by local authorities such as the Nevada Division of Forestry or the National Interagency Fire Center.

Will Trump meet North Korean leader Kim Jong-un by December 31, 2026?

This market resolves to 'Yes' if a confirmed meeting between Donald Trump and Kim Jong-un occurs by December 31, 2026, as reported by at least two credible news sources. Otherwise, it resolves to 'No'.

Will U.S. gas prices average above $4.00 per gallon by October 31, 2026?

This market resolves to Yes if the national average gas price as reported by the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) is above $4.00 per gallon on October 31, 2026. It resolves to No if it is $4.00 or below.

Will Iran and Oman finalize a deal on the Strait of Hormuz by November 1, 2026?

This market resolves to Yes if Iran and Oman publicly announce a finalized deal regarding the Strait of Hormuz by November 1, 2026. The market resolves to No if no such announcement is made by this date.

This market resolves to Yes if, by September 30, 2026, there is a public announcement from the United Nations or relevant education summit officials confirming an increase in funding for education systems as a result of the UN Transforming Education Summit + 4. Otherwise, it resolves to No.