Will Ukraine receive additional Patriot missile interceptors from the U.S. by October 15, 2026?

This market resolves to Yes if the Hawk Fire near Reno, Nevada, is declared contained by responsible authorities by the end of September 15, 2026. Containment must be officially confirmed by local authorities such as the Nevada Division of Forestry or the National Interagency Fire Center.

Will Trump meet North Korean leader Kim Jong-un by December 31, 2026?

This market resolves to 'Yes' if a confirmed meeting between Donald Trump and Kim Jong-un occurs by December 31, 2026, as reported by at least two credible news sources. Otherwise, it resolves to 'No'.

Will U.S. gas prices average above $4.00 per gallon by October 31, 2026?

This market resolves to Yes if the national average gas price as reported by the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) is above $4.00 per gallon on October 31, 2026. It resolves to No if it is $4.00 or below.

This market resolves to Yes if 95% or more of the households in Hawaii that lost power due to Tropical Storm Lala have their power restored by end of day on September 10, 2026. Verification will be based on reports from Hawaiian Electric Company or other official sources.

Will Iran and Oman finalize a deal on the Strait of Hormuz by November 1, 2026?

This market resolves to Yes if Iran and Oman publicly announce a finalized deal regarding the Strait of Hormuz by November 1, 2026. The market resolves to No if no such announcement is made by this date.

This market resolves to Yes if an official international agreement or pact is reached at the COP17 in Ulaanbaatar, Mongolia, specifically focusing on land restoration, desertification, or drought management, and is publicly announced by August 31, 2026.