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This market resolves to Yes if the UK Consumer Price Index (CPI) annual inflation rate, as reported by the Office for National Statistics, is above 2% for the majority of months in the fourth quarter of 2026 (October, November, December). The resolution will rely on official CPI reports released in early 2027 for the respective months.
This market resolves to Yes if the UK Consumer Price Index (CPI) published by the Office for National Statistics indicates an inflation rate above 2.5% for any month between July and December 2026. Inflation rate is measured in terms of year-over-year percentage change. Official statistics on the UK government's website will be used for resolution.
This market resolves to Yes if the White House succeeds in implementing a policy or regulation that legally restricts institutional investors from purchasing single-family homes anywhere in the United States by December 31, 2026. Official confirmation of the policy enactment through legal or governmental channels is required for resolution.
This market resolves to Yes if, by December 31, 2026, the U.S. government officially enacts legislation banning institutional investors from purchasing single-family homes. News reports and official government announcements will be used to resolve this market.
Will US inflation rate exceed 5% in the first quarter of 2026?
About this market
This market resolves to Yes if the US Bureau of Labor Statistics reports a year-over-year inflation rate exceeding 5% for any month in Q1 2026 (January, February, or March) in their Consumer Price Index release. Otherwise, it resolves to No.
Rules
- Market closes at 4/15/2026.
- Logic weighted resolution applies.
Other open markets in Economics
Will UK CPI inflation remain above 2% in Q4 2026?
This market resolves to Yes if the UK Consumer Price Index (CPI) annual inflation rate, as reported by the Office for National Statistics, is above 2% for the majority of months in the fourth quarter of 2026 (October, November, December). The resolution will rely on official CPI reports released in early 2027 for the respective months.
Will UK inflation exceed 2.5% in the second half of 2026?
This market resolves to Yes if the UK Consumer Price Index (CPI) published by the Office for National Statistics indicates an inflation rate above 2.5% for any month between July and December 2026. Inflation rate is measured in terms of year-over-year percentage change. Official statistics on the UK government's website will be used for resolution.
Will the US ban on institutional investors buying single-family homes come into effect by December 2026?
This market resolves to Yes if the White House succeeds in implementing a policy or regulation that legally restricts institutional investors from purchasing single-family homes anywhere in the United States by December 31, 2026. Official confirmation of the policy enactment through legal or governmental channels is required for resolution.
Will the U.S. government ban institutional investors from purchasing single-family homes by the end of 2026?
This market resolves to Yes if, by December 31, 2026, the U.S. government officially enacts legislation banning institutional investors from purchasing single-family homes. News reports and official government announcements will be used to resolve this market.
Will the Rethinking Economics movement lead to at least 10 major universities adopting a new pluralist curriculum by the end of 2026?
This market resolves to Yes if by December 31, 2026, at least 10 major universities publicly announce and implement a new economics curriculum influenced by the Rethinking Economics movement, incorporating more pluralistic and ethically conscientious frameworks as described in recent articles. Confirmation will be based on verifiable announcements from the universities or media coverage.
Will a major university announce a new pluralist economics curriculum by the end of 2026?
This market resolves to Yes if any major university announces a new economics curriculum that explicitly emphasizes a pluralist approach, incorporating multiple economic theories, increased ethical considerations, historical perspectives, and applicability to real-world issues by December 31, 2026. Valid announcements must be reported by a reputable news source or official university communication.