Markets
Will the 10-year Treasury yield exceed 5% by September 30, 2026?
Yes0%No0%
Loading...
About this market
This market resolves to Yes if the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield exceeds 5% at any point before or on September 30, 2026. The outcome will be determined using publicly available financial data from credible sources like the U.S. Department of the Treasury.
Rules
- Market closes at 9/30/2026.
- Logic weighted resolution applies.
Other open markets in Business
Will the adoption rate of AI tools among independent financial advisors reach 50% by December 31, 2026?
This market resolves to Yes if, according to a reputable source like the JD Power U.S. Financial Advisor Satisfaction Study, the adoption rate of AI tools among independent financial advisors reaches or exceeds 50% by December 31, 2026.
Will SpaceX stock recover to its pre-July 2026 high by September 30, 2026?
This market resolves to Yes if SpaceX's stock price reaches or exceeds its highest price in July 2026 at any point before the end of the day on September 30, 2026. The resolution will be based on publicly available trading data.
Will Alphabet report over 75% year-over-year growth in Google Cloud revenue for Q3 2026?
This market resolves to Yes if Alphabet (Google's parent company) reports that its year-over-year revenue growth for Google Cloud in Q3 2026 exceeds 75% in its Q3 earnings report. The resolution will be based on official financial results released by Alphabet.
Will Amazon announce the groundbreaking of its Dog's Head project by August 31, 2026?
This market resolves to Yes if Amazon publicly announces the groundbreaking of its Dog's Head project in Southeast Austin by August 31, 2026. Official statements, press releases, or reputable media coverage will be used to determine the outcome. If no such announcement occurs by the resolution date, this market resolves to No.
Will Expensify's Consolidated Travel Billing service reach 50,000 active users by September 30, 2026?
This market resolves to Yes if Expensify publicly announces that its new Consolidated Travel Billing service has reached at least 50,000 active users by September 30, 2026. Active users are defined as companies actively using the service for business travel payments. Any official press release, investor call, or similar source confirming the milestone will determine the outcome.
Will Uber's acquisition of Delivery Hero close successfully by September 30, 2026?
This market resolves to Yes if Uber's $14.8 billion acquisition of Delivery Hero is officially completed and publicly announced by September 30, 2026. If the deal is canceled, delayed beyond that date, or no public confirmation is available by the close date, the market resolves to No.