Ravioli, Prediction Markets & Debates
Business Markets
This market resolves to Yes if official reports or credible news sources confirm that Amazon has achieved a reduction of at least 10% in operational labor hours in its robotics-enabled warehouses due to the new efficiency drive focused on human movement optimization by September 30, 2026.
This market resolves to Yes if SpaceX's stock price reaches or exceeds its highest price in July 2026 at any point before the end of the day on September 30, 2026. The resolution will be based on publicly available trading data.
This market resolves to Yes if Expensify publicly announces that its new Consolidated Travel Billing service has reached at least 50,000 active users by September 30, 2026. Active users are defined as companies actively using the service for business travel payments. Any official press release, investor call, or similar source confirming the milestone will determine the outcome.
This market resolves to Yes if the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield exceeds 5% at any point before or on September 30, 2026. The outcome will be determined using publicly available financial data from credible sources like the U.S. Department of the Treasury.
This market resolves to Yes if Alphabet (Google's parent company) reports that its year-over-year revenue growth for Google Cloud in Q3 2026 exceeds 75% in its Q3 earnings report. The resolution will be based on official financial results released by Alphabet.
This market resolves to Yes if publicly available data for September 2026 shows that discretionary spending growth for lower-income Americans surpasses that of higher-income Americans, according to a report by the Bank of America Institute or an equivalent authoritative source.
This market resolves to Yes if TVS Motor Company publicly announces that it has reached 6 million global sales of the TVS HLX series by December 31, 2026. The announcement must come from an official source such as a press release or company earnings call.
Will MLG Oz generate over A$30 million in annual revenue from Gruyere Mining contracts by the end of 2026?
Will Chubb complete its first significant workforce reduction by December 2026?
This market resolves to Yes if, by December 31, 2026, as a result of the lawsuit Disney filed against the FCC, there is any official change announced regarding the renewal process of Disney's station licenses. It resolves to No if no such change is announced before that date.
This market resolves to 'Yes' if Disney's lawsuit against the FCC regarding the early renewal order for its station licenses is resolved in Disney's favor by December 31, 2026. Otherwise, it resolves to 'No'.
This market resolves to Yes if Bally's secures new financing through equity sales, asset monetization, or other means by the end of 2026 to ensure its continued operations. This includes any publicly announced financing agreements that are finalized and deemed sufficient by financial analysts and the company itself to overcome its financial difficulties.
Will digital PR growth lead to a significant increase in market share for any PR firm by December 2026?
Will the US Federal Reserve keep interest rates unchanged through 2026?
Will Novartis announce at least one new therapeutic antibody developed using Chai Discovery’s AI by December 31, 2026?
Will ServiceNow report an unemployment rate for college grads over 30% by the end of 2026?
Will Disney's plan to turn Disney+ into a comprehensive membership ecosystem show a 10% increase in active subscribers by Q1 2027?
Will NMDC produce over 55 million tonnes of iron ore in FY 2026-27?
This market resolves to Yes if, by December 31, 2027, Intuit's AI-powered ERP solution tailored for the construction industry captures at least 10% of the market share as reported by a reputable industry analysis or report.
Will Indiana increase property tax rates for businesses by December 31, 2027?
Will Arm Holdings' new AI chip generate at least $15 billion in revenue by 2027?
Will Conagra complete its $220M expansion of the Fayetteville Manufacturing Site by March 2028?
What Ravioli is
Ravioli is a free-to-play prediction market. You trade shares on real-world questions across sports, politics, and culture using free credits, and the price of a share is the crowd's live estimate that the outcome happens. Nothing here costs money, and the prizes are real.
A price is a probability
Every market trades between 0 and 100 cents a share. A share priced at 62c means the crowd puts the outcome at roughly 62 percent, and it moves as people trade. Read the number and you have the current consensus without wading through opinions.
Free credits, real prizes
You trade with Sense, the in-app currency. It is free, there is nothing to deposit, and it cannot be exchanged for cash. What you win is redeemable in the shop for gift cards and merch, so being right pays without anyone risking money.
How markets resolve
Sports markets settle against the official box score. Everything else resolves against cited sources, verified with live web search before payout. Winning shares pay 100 Sense each and settle straight into your balance.
Common questions
- Is any real money involved?
- No. There is no deposit, no wallet, and no crypto. Accounts start with free Sense and you can earn more through daily rewards and streaks. Sense never converts back to cash.
- How is this different from Kalshi or Polymarket?
- Same mechanics, none of the money. You get an order book, an automated market maker, and multi-outcome markets, but you play with free credits and compete for prizes instead of a payout in dollars.
- What are Debates?
- A second mode alongside the markets. You pick a side, write an argument, and AI scores the reasoning on fact-checking, relevance, and logic. Scores stay hidden until the debate resolves so nobody can copy a winning take.
Or see every open market, the debates, who is winning, or the full mechanics and scoring rules on the about page.