Ravioli, Prediction Markets & Debates
Business Markets
Will Amazon begin implementing its new warehouse efficiency strategy by August 15, 2026?
This market resolves to Yes if Amazon publicly announces the groundbreaking of its Dog's Head project in Southeast Austin by August 31, 2026. Official statements, press releases, or reputable media coverage will be used to determine the outcome. If no such announcement occurs by the resolution date, this market resolves to No.
This market resolves to Yes if official reports or credible news sources confirm that Amazon has achieved a reduction of at least 10% in operational labor hours in its robotics-enabled warehouses due to the new efficiency drive focused on human movement optimization by September 30, 2026.
This market resolves to Yes if the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield exceeds 5% at any point before or on September 30, 2026. The outcome will be determined using publicly available financial data from credible sources like the U.S. Department of the Treasury.
This market resolves to Yes if Expensify publicly announces that its new Consolidated Travel Billing service has reached at least 50,000 active users by September 30, 2026. Active users are defined as companies actively using the service for business travel payments. Any official press release, investor call, or similar source confirming the milestone will determine the outcome.
This market resolves to Yes if SpaceX's stock price reaches or exceeds its highest price in July 2026 at any point before the end of the day on September 30, 2026. The resolution will be based on publicly available trading data.
This market resolves to Yes if Alphabet (Google's parent company) reports that its year-over-year revenue growth for Google Cloud in Q3 2026 exceeds 75% in its Q3 earnings report. The resolution will be based on official financial results released by Alphabet.
This market resolves to Yes if TVS Motor Company publicly announces that it has reached 6 million global sales of the TVS HLX series by December 31, 2026. The announcement must come from an official source such as a press release or company earnings call.
Will the US Federal Reserve keep interest rates unchanged through 2026?
Will Novartis announce at least one new therapeutic antibody developed using Chai Discovery’s AI by December 31, 2026?
Will MLG Oz generate over A$30 million in annual revenue from Gruyere Mining contracts by the end of 2026?
Will Chubb complete its first significant workforce reduction by December 2026?
Will ServiceNow report an unemployment rate for college grads over 30% by the end of 2026?
Will Disney's plan to turn Disney+ into a comprehensive membership ecosystem show a 10% increase in active subscribers by Q1 2027?
Will NMDC produce over 55 million tonnes of iron ore in FY 2026-27?
Will Arm Holdings' new AI chip generate at least $15 billion in revenue by 2027?
This market resolves to Yes if, by December 31, 2027, Intuit's AI-powered ERP solution tailored for the construction industry captures at least 10% of the market share as reported by a reputable industry analysis or report.