Ravioli, Prediction Markets & Debates
Business Markets
Will Ford resolve the recall issue of over 250,000 Focus models by July 31, 2026?
This market resolves to Yes if Circle K announces the completion of the installation of Eversys Enigma Classic self-serve coffee machines in its European stores by July 31, 2026, as part of its investment deal with Löfbergs.
Will Ninja Theory or Double Fine announce independence from Microsoft by July 31, 2026?
This market resolves to Yes if Amazon completes the sale of $25 billion in bonds, as reported by a credible financial news outlet or confirmed in Amazon's official announcements, by July 31, 2026. The sale must be explicitly finalized and publicly confirmed by this date to count as resolved.
Will at least 20% of Microsoft's Xbox game studios close by July 31, 2026?
Will Amazon begin implementing its new warehouse efficiency strategy by August 15, 2026?
Will Chai Discovery announce another major pharmaceutical collaboration by August 31, 2026?
Will HCLTech announce a second major deal worth over $1 billion by August 31, 2026?
This market resolves to Yes if Oracle has publicly announced the completion of its layoffs driven by AI efficiencies by October 31, 2026. Verification will be based on official Oracle press releases or credible news sources.
Will Blue Owl report investor withdrawal requests exceeding 30% for its software-focused private credit fund in Q3 2026?
This market resolves to Yes if TVS Motor Company publicly announces that it has reached 6 million global sales of the TVS HLX series by December 31, 2026. The announcement must come from an official source such as a press release or company earnings call.
Will the US Federal Reserve keep interest rates unchanged through 2026?
Will Adani Group's defence manufacturing unit in Madhya Pradesh officially begin operations by December 31, 2026?
Will Chubb complete its first significant workforce reduction by December 2026?
Will MLG Oz generate over A$30 million in annual revenue from Gruyere Mining contracts by the end of 2026?
Will Novartis announce at least one new therapeutic antibody developed using Chai Discovery’s AI by December 31, 2026?
This market resolves to Yes if the U.S. unemployment rate for college graduates reaches or exceeds 30.0% at any point in time by December 31, 2026, according to official statistics from the Bureau of Labor Statistics or a similarly credible source.

