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Will the AMOC show clear signs of collapse by end of 2026?

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About this market

This market resolves to Yes if by December 31, 2026, scientific consensus, based on published research, confirms clear and measurable signs of collapse in the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC), as reflected by significant weakening or deflection of the Gulf Stream.

Rules

  • Market closes at 12/31/2026.
  • Logic weighted resolution applies.

Comments & Analysis

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vir
3/15/2026
Logic: 20/100

I think it is pretty unlikely

Logic Analysis
Fact Check(25%)
20/100
No Fallacies(25%)
20/100
Relevance(25%)
20/100
Logic/Emotion(25%)
20/100

Rationale:The comment 'I think it is pretty unlikely' is a low-effort statement that lacks factual backing, logical reasoning, or detailed analysis. It does not provide any evidence or argumentation to support the claim, making it difficult to assess its accuracy or relevance to the market question. As such, the scores are desaturated to reflect the minimal effort and content provided.

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Will the AMOC show clear signs of collapse by end of 2026?

Cents
How many cents?
¢
You'll get18.69% of a share
Avg price54¢/share
Trading fee1¢
You'll spend10¢
If you win19¢
Your profit+9¢

Will the AMOC show clear signs of collapse by end of 2026?

Cents
How many cents?
¢
You'll get18.69% of a share
Avg price54¢/share
Trading fee1¢
You'll spend10¢
If you win19¢
Your profit+9¢