Skip to content
Ravioli
Ravioli
DebatesMarketsPortfolioIdeasShop
Markets / 51372272...

Will major protests occur in Tehran by the end of March 2026?

Loading...

About this market

This market resolves to Yes if substantial demonstrations are reported in Tehran by reputable international news outlets, involving at least 10,000 participants, by March 31, 2026. Substantial protests are characterized by significant street gatherings and media coverage indicating large-scale participation.

Rules

  • Market closes at 3/31/2026.
  • Logic weighted resolution applies.

Comments & Analysis

Please log in to comment.
advickbhalla
3/21/2026
Logic: 50/100

i feel like tehran is hugely controlled by state media and everything so protests wont be possible

Logic Analysis
Fact Check(40%)
30/100
No Fallacies(20%)
60/100
Relevance(20%)
80/100
Logic/Emotion(20%)
50/100

Rationale:The comment claims that protests in Tehran are not possible due to state media control, but recent events contradict this. There have been protests in Tehran, including student demonstrations and chants against the government. The comment lacks factual accuracy and contains some logical fallacies, such as ignoring recent evidence of protests. It is relevant to the market question but relies more on emotion than logic.

Loading...

Will major protests occur in Tehran by the end of March 2026?

Cents
How many cents?
¢
You'll get18.69% of a share
Avg price54¢/share
Trading fee1¢
You'll spend10¢
If you win19¢
Your profit+9¢

Will major protests occur in Tehran by the end of March 2026?

Cents
How many cents?
¢
You'll get18.69% of a share
Avg price54¢/share
Trading fee1¢
You'll spend10¢
If you win19¢
Your profit+9¢