Ravioli, Prediction Markets & Debates

Trending Markets

Will DJ Moore play more than 50% of offensive snaps in Week 9?

55%chance▼ 13 today
Ends Nov 7

This market resolves to Yes if the movie 'Ebenezer', starring Johnny Depp as Ebenezer Scrooge, has its official theatrical release or is made available for streaming to the general public by December 1, 2026.

Ends Dec 1

This market resolves to Yes if Luigi Mangione is found guilty of at least one federal stalking charge related to the case involving the death of UnitedHealthcare CEO Brian Thompson by the end of December 2026. Any official court verdict or plea that acknowledges guilt for stalking at the federal level will determine the resolution.

52% chance
D
Dassault Aviation société anonyme35%
M
Micron Technology (MU)25%
A
Amazon (AMZN)20%
N
None Outperform20%
4 outcomes

This market resolves to Yes if the lawsuit filed by the coalition of minority-owned bodegas and supermarkets results in stopping, invalidating, or indefinitely delaying the NYC plan to build city-run grocery stores before December 31, 2026. Any court decision or settlement that prevents the stores from being established by this date will constitute a 'Yes' outcome.

35% chance

This market resolves to Yes if the U.S. Department of Justice (DOJ) issues a formal antitrust complaint against the merger of Warner Bros Discovery (WBD) and Paramount by the end of December 31, 2026. The resolution is based on official announcements or documents confirming the filing of such a complaint. This market acknowledges DOJ's intensified probe as reported by multiple sources.

60% chance

This market resolves to Yes if by December 31, 2026, any U.S. federal or state government entity, university, or recognized research institution announces a study specifically focused on assessing the impact of restricted access to contraception on the rate of teen pregnancies.

55% chance

This market resolves to 'Yes' if official data from the CDC or a similar authoritative source shows that at least 50% of the eligible U.S. population has received one of the FDA-approved 2026-2027 COVID-19 vaccines by December 31, 2026. If data shows that less than 50% have been vaccinated by this date, the market resolves to 'No'.

55% chance

This market resolves to Yes if the European Commission officially announces a financial penalty against X for violations related to Grok AI's functionalities, including the generation of sexually explicit images, under the Digital Services Act by December 31, 2026. The resolution is based on public announcements or official documents from the European Commission. This market resolves to No if no such fine is announced by the deadline.

50% chance
F
Fewer than 1060%
1
10–4925%
5
50–9910%
1
100 or more5%
4 outcomes

Will the Apple AirTag 2 be recalled by the end of 2026?

50%chance▼ 4 today
Ends Dec 31

This market resolves to Yes if the U.S. Senate Committee on Indian Affairs, after the roundtable discussion on August 4, 2026, proposes any new regulations specifically targeting prediction markets by the end of 2026. A proposal is considered valid if it is documented in the public congressional records.

45% chance

This market resolves to Yes if any major sports league (such as the NFL, NBA, MLB, or Premier League) announces a policy requiring their finals or championship games to be broadcast on free-to-air television in addition to any paywalled streaming services by the end of 2026. The announcement must come explicitly from the league itself, not from individual broadcasters.

40% chance

Showing 1-24 of 76 markets

What Ravioli is

Ravioli is a free-to-play prediction market. You trade shares on real-world questions across sports, politics, and culture using free credits, and the price of a share is the crowd's live estimate that the outcome happens. Nothing here costs money, and the prizes are real.

A price is a probability

Every market trades between 0 and 100 cents a share. A share priced at 62c means the crowd puts the outcome at roughly 62 percent, and it moves as people trade. Read the number and you have the current consensus without wading through opinions.

Free credits, real prizes

You trade with Sense, the in-app currency. It is free, there is nothing to deposit, and it cannot be exchanged for cash. What you win is redeemable in the shop for gift cards and merch, so being right pays without anyone risking money.

How markets resolve

Sports markets settle against the official box score. Everything else resolves against cited sources, verified with live web search before payout. Winning shares pay 100 Sense each and settle straight into your balance.

Common questions

Is any real money involved?
No. There is no deposit, no wallet, and no crypto. Accounts start with free Sense and you can earn more through daily rewards and streaks. Sense never converts back to cash.
How is this different from Kalshi or Polymarket?
Same mechanics, none of the money. You get an order book, an automated market maker, and multi-outcome markets, but you play with free credits and compete for prizes instead of a payout in dollars.
What are Debates?
A second mode alongside the markets. You pick a side, write an argument, and AI scores the reasoning on fact-checking, relevance, and logic. Scores stay hidden until the debate resolves so nobody can copy a winning take.