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This market resolves to Yes if data released by the Irish government or a verified institution shows that more than 60% of those in emergency accommodation in Dublin are non-Irish citizens as of December 31, 2026. The market resolves to No otherwise.

55% chance

This market resolves to Yes if the official data, as released by the Irish Department of Housing or an equivalent government source, shows that non-Irish citizens make up more than 60% of Dublin's homeless population as of January 1, 2027.

55% chance
Markets

Will Abdul El-Sayed win Michigan's Democratic Senate nomination on August 4, 2026?

Yes0%No0%
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About this market

This market resolves to Yes if Abdul El-Sayed is declared the winner of the Michigan Democratic Senate primary election on August 4, 2026. The result will be based on official reporting by the Michigan Secretary of State or reputable news outlets like the Associated Press or CNN.

Rules

  • Market closes at 8/4/2026.
  • Logic weighted resolution applies.