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This market resolves to Yes if a significant storm causes damage exceeding $500 million in total across the Middle East, as reported by at least two major news outlets, by November 15, 2026. Includes infrastructure, property, and economic losses due to the storm.

45% chance

This market resolves to 'Yes' if the United Nations imposes any form of sanctions (economic, diplomatic, or otherwise) on Malaysia specifically in response to its recent deportation activities, as publicly reported by reputable sources, by December 31, 2026. Otherwise, the market resolves to 'No.'

35% chance
Markets

Will Andrew and Tristan Tate face formal charges in the U.S. by August 15, 2026?

Yes0%No0%
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About this market

This market resolves to Yes if Andrew and/or Tristan Tate are formally charged with criminal offenses in the United States by August 15, 2026, as confirmed by credible governmental or law enforcement statements (e.g., Department of Justice press releases). If no formal charges are announced by the deadline, the market resolves to No.

Rules

  • Market closes at 8/15/2026.
  • Logic weighted resolution applies.