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Will the Arctic sea ice extent be less than 4 million square kilometers in September 2026?

Yes0%No0%
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About this market

This market resolves to Yes if the minimum extent of Arctic sea ice in September 2026, as reported by the National Snow and Ice Data Center (NSIDC), is less than 4 million square kilometers. NSIDC typically publishes this data in early October.

Rules

  • Market closes at 10/10/2026.
  • Logic weighted resolution applies.