Markets

Will a ceasefire between Israel and Hezbollah be established by July 15, 2026?

Yes0%No0%
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About this market

This market resolves to Yes if a formal ceasefire agreement between Israel and Hezbollah is publicly announced and confirmed by any of the involved governments or a credible international organization by July 15, 2026. Any continued hostilities or absence of such an announcement will result in a No resolution.

Rules

  • Market closes at 7/15/2026.
  • Logic weighted resolution applies.