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This market resolves to Yes if the Senate Judiciary Committee formally issues a subpoena to Donald Trump Jr. on or before November 30, 2026, as publicly reported by credible news sources or official Senate records. If no such subpoena is issued by the deadline, this market resolves to No.

42% chance

This market resolves to 'Yes' if, by December 31, 2026, the federal lawsuit filed by the U.S. Department of Justice against the Kansas City school system regarding transgender student policies is resolved in favor of the plaintiffs. Any official court ruling or settlement agreement that supports the plaintiffs' case and changes the current policies will qualify as a resolution in favor of the plaintiffs.

42% chance
Markets

Will Congress pass a bill to fund the Department of Homeland Security by April 30, 2026?

Yes0%No0%
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About this market

This market resolves to Yes if Congress passes a bill that fully funds the Department of Homeland Security, ending the current shutdown, by April 30, 2026. The resolution is based on official announcements or legislative records confirming passage of the funding bill.

Rules

  • Market closes at 4/30/2026.
  • Logic weighted resolution applies.