Will COP31 call to transition away from fossil fuels by November 21?

Unofficial results show Scott Colom leading Cindy Hyde-Smith by about half a percentage point, with Mississippi state certification still pending. Resolves Yes if Mississippi certifies Colom ahead by at least 0.600 percentage points in the 2026 U.S. Senate race by December 3, 2026.

CBS reported that ICE was recently told to aim for about 19,000 arrests per week, while DHS said enforcement was not slowing after the midterms. Resolves Yes if an official source or major reporting confirms that the national ICE arrest target was reduced below that level by December 31, 2026.

Will new Hegseth impeachment articles be filed by January 10?

Democrats are expected to take House control in January, creating a path to revive the Hegseth impeachment fight. Resolves Yes if any member of the U.S. House formally introduces or files articles of impeachment against Pete Hegseth in the 120th Congress by January 10, 2027; the old 119th Congress resolution does not count unless it is reintroduced or newly filed.

Will non-Irish citizens constitute more than 60% of those in emergency accommodation in Dublin by December 31, 2026?

This market resolves to Yes if data released by the Irish government or a verified institution shows that more than 60% of those in emergency accommodation in Dublin are non-Irish citizens as of December 31, 2026. The market resolves to No otherwise.

Will non-Irish citizens exceed 60% of Dublin’s homeless population by January 1, 2027?

This market resolves to Yes if the official data, as released by the Irish Department of Housing or an equivalent government source, shows that non-Irish citizens make up more than 60% of Dublin's homeless population as of January 1, 2027.

This market resolves to Yes if any Democrat is officially charged with a crime related to the alleged scheme to manipulate the Alaska ballot by December 31, 2026. If no such charges are filed by this date, the market resolves to No.