Will the cyclospora outbreak spread to 15 or more U.S. states by August 28, 2026?

This market resolves to Yes if the MUSC Hollings Cancer Center at Florence Medical Center officially opens by July 31, 2026. Resolution will be based on an official announcement by MUSC Health or local news confirming the opening. If no public confirmation is available by July 31, 2026, the market resolves to No.

This market resolves to Yes if a new federally funded initiative or substantial funding increase aimed at preventing rural hospital closures in Indiana is publicly announced by a credible source (e.g., federal agency press release, major news outlet) by August 31, 2026. The announcement must specifically address the issue of rural hospital closures in Indiana.

This market resolves to Yes if, by August 30, 2026, Troy Jackson (Democratic nominee for the 2026 midterms in Maine) publicly announces a detailed and actionable statewide plan for implementing Medicare for All. This announcement must include specific policy details and key legislative or executive steps, and must be reported by a reputable news outlet or Jackson's official campaign channels. Ambiguous statements or generalized support for Medicare for All will not count.

This market resolves to Yes if any African country achieves a score of 50 or higher on the Africa Health Security (AHS) Index by August 31, 2026, as officially reported by the organizations responsible for the Index. The AHS Index measures health security capacity across 54 African countries, with a score of 50+ indicating moderate health preparedness. Current average is 41.5.

This market resolves to Yes if Tempus AI successfully finalizes its $1.7 billion acquisition of cancer-tech firm Personalis by October 15, 2026. Successful finalization requires an official announcement from Tempus AI, Personalis, or relevant regulators confirming the deal's closure. If the acquisition is announced as abandoned or not completed by the resolution date, this market will resolve to No.

This market resolves to Yes if the CDC publicly states or announces that the Cyclospora outbreak linked to Taco Bell lettuce is officially over by August 15, 2026. The declaration must be made on the CDC's official platforms or in an official press release. Otherwise, the market resolves to No.