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Will global carbon emissions peak before December 31, 2028?

About this market

This market resolves to Yes if definitive data or a major international climate authority confirms that global carbon emissions have peaked and started to decline before January 1, 2029. The data must be widely recognized and reported in respected climate science publications or by organizations like the United Nations or the International Energy Agency.

Rules

  • Market closes at 12/31/2028.
  • Logic weighted resolution applies.

Comments & Analysis

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128123
1/29/2026
Logic: 83/100

Emissions are on the rise

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