Will 'Michael' become the first biopic to gross $1 billion worldwide by August 31, 2026?

Will Netflix add short-form videos from digital publishers to its homepage by August 3, 2026?

This market resolves to Yes if Netflix launches short-form videos from digital publishers, as announced, on its homepage for U.S. customers by August 3, 2026. The market resolves to No if this feature is not implemented by the announced date. Confirmation will be based on an official Netflix announcement or direct user reports of the feature going live.

This market resolves to Yes if Steven Spielberg or Amblin Entertainment officially announces the lead actors for the upcoming adaptation of 'The Mandela Catalogue' by August 15, 2026. Announcements must come from credible sources such as press releases, Spielberg's official statements, or recognized entertainment media outlets (e.g., Deadline, Variety). Speculative or unofficial reports will not count.

This market resolves to Yes if Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's wedding is publicly confirmed to have taken place at Madison Square Garden by July 31, 2026. Confirmation must come from a reliable source, such as major news outlets (e.g., CNN, Entertainment Tonight) or official statements from those involved. If no confirmation occurs by that date, the market will resolve to No.

This market resolves to Yes if Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce publicly confirm the date of their wedding (via an official announcement, credible interview, or social media post) by July 31, 2026. For the market to resolve, the announcement must unambiguously specify the wedding date. Rumors, leaks, or unverified reports do not count as confirmation.

This market resolves to Yes if Dentsu Entertainment officially announces its first project developed in partnership with Made By Us Studios on or before August 25, 2026. The announcement must be made through a press release, official statement, or other verifiable source and specify a project resulting from their new partnership.

This market resolves to Yes if NBC officially announces, through press release or on their official website, the production or airing of a new TV series where RuPaul plays the President of the United States by August 1, 2026. Announcements via credible entertainment media will also be considered.