Ravioli, Prediction Markets & Debates

Entertainment Markets

2
2 to 540%
1
130%
6
6 to 1020%
1
11 and above10%
4 outcomes

This market resolves to Yes if Netflix publicly announces (via official press release, blog post, or similar) that the AI tools developed by InterPositive, the AI startup acquired by Netflix, will be used in the creation of a new original series by August 31, 2026. Announcements about films, documentaries, or non-original content will not count. The market resolves based on publicly available information.

70% chance

This market resolves to Yes if Netflix publicly announces, either through press releases, financial disclosures, or statements from executives, that it has started using technology from InterPositive (the AI startup it acquired) in developing its original content by September 15, 2026.

70% chance

This market resolves to Yes if Netflix reports viewing hours exceeding 100 billion for the period January 1, 2026, through September 30, 2026, in their Q3 2026 earnings report. Official Netflix announcements or financial filings will be used to resolve this market.

70% chance

This market resolves to Yes if Celine Dion completes her announced five-week residency in Paris in the fall of 2026 without canceling any of the scheduled concerts due to health issues or any other reasons.

60% chance

This market resolves to Yes if 'Grand Theft Auto 6' is officially released on November 19, 2026, as stated by Take-Two. This will be verified through Rockstar Games' official announcement or upon availability in major game retailers.

Ends Nov 19
B
Blade Runner 2099 (Prime Video)45%
N
Neuromancer (Apple TV+)35%
M
Matchbox The Movie (Apple TV+)15%
Other5%
4 outcomes

This market resolves to Yes if Instagram completely stops using the PG-13 rating reference in its posts, as per their agreement with the Motion Picture Association, by December 31, 2026. The decision will be based on an official statement from Meta or confirmation from a reliable media source.

55% chance

This market resolves to Yes if the acquisition of ATG Entertainment by MARI receives all necessary regulatory approvals by December 31, 2026.

60% chance

This market resolves to Yes if Netflix releases Greta Gerwig's 'Narnia: The Magician's Nephew' in theaters globally by February 2027, as announced by AMC CEO during a call with analysts.

Ends Feb 1, 2027

This market resolves to Yes if the global recorded music revenue, as reported by MIDiA Research or other authoritative industry sources, exceeds $42 billion for the year 2026. This will take into account revenue from streaming, merchandise, live performances, and branding rights.

50% chance