Ravioli, Prediction Markets & Debates

Entertainment Markets

This market resolves to Yes if Netflix publicly announces, either through press releases, financial disclosures, or statements from executives, that it has started using technology from InterPositive (the AI startup it acquired) in developing its original content by September 15, 2026.

70% chance

This market resolves to Yes if Netflix reports viewing hours exceeding 100 billion for the period January 1, 2026, through September 30, 2026, in their Q3 2026 earnings report. Official Netflix announcements or financial filings will be used to resolve this market.

70% chance

This market resolves to Yes if Celine Dion completes her announced five-week residency in Paris in the fall of 2026 without canceling any of the scheduled concerts due to health issues or any other reasons.

60% chance

This market resolves to Yes if 'Grand Theft Auto 6' is officially released on November 19, 2026, as stated by Take-Two. This will be verified through Rockstar Games' official announcement or upon availability in major game retailers.

Ends Nov 19
T
Taron Egerton40%
H
Hugh Jackman20%
T
Tom Hardy15%
N
None of these15%
K
Keanu Reeves10%
5 outcomes
B
Blade Runner 2099 (Prime Video)45%
N
Neuromancer (Apple TV+)35%
M
Matchbox The Movie (Apple TV+)15%
Other5%
4 outcomes
D
Disney35%
C
Comcast32%
W
WBD28%
T
Two or more tie5%
4 outcomes

This market resolves to Yes if Instagram completely stops using the PG-13 rating reference in its posts, as per their agreement with the Motion Picture Association, by December 31, 2026. The decision will be based on an official statement from Meta or confirmation from a reliable media source.

55% chance

This market resolves to Yes if the acquisition of ATG Entertainment by MARI receives all necessary regulatory approvals by December 31, 2026.

60% chance

This market resolves to Yes if Netflix releases Greta Gerwig's 'Narnia: The Magician's Nephew' in theaters globally by February 2027, as announced by AMC CEO during a call with analysts.

Ends Feb 1, 2027

This market resolves to Yes if AMC's Leawood Films announces that it will distribute at least one film nominated for an Academy Award at the 2027 Oscars.

30% chance

This market resolves to Yes if the global recorded music revenue, as reported by MIDiA Research or other authoritative industry sources, exceeds $42 billion for the year 2026. This will take into account revenue from streaming, merchandise, live performances, and branding rights.

50% chance

This market resolves to Yes if Anya Taylor-Joy's Apple TV crime thriller 'Lucky' wins a recognized major award (e.g., Emmy, Golden Globe, etc.) for Best Crime Thriller by August 2027.

35% chance

Showing 1-24 of 26 markets

What Ravioli is

Ravioli is a free-to-play prediction market. You trade shares on real-world questions across sports, politics, and culture using free credits, and the price of a share is the crowd's live estimate that the outcome happens. Nothing here costs money, and the prizes are real.

A price is a probability

Every market trades between 0 and 100 cents a share. A share priced at 62c means the crowd puts the outcome at roughly 62 percent, and it moves as people trade. Read the number and you have the current consensus without wading through opinions.

Free credits, real prizes

You trade with Sense, the in-app currency. It is free, there is nothing to deposit, and it cannot be exchanged for cash. What you win is redeemable in the shop for gift cards and merch, so being right pays without anyone risking money.

How markets resolve

Sports markets settle against the official box score. Everything else resolves against cited sources, verified with live web search before payout. Winning shares pay 100 Sense each and settle straight into your balance.

Common questions

Is any real money involved?
No. There is no deposit, no wallet, and no crypto. Accounts start with free Sense and you can earn more through daily rewards and streaks. Sense never converts back to cash.
How is this different from Kalshi or Polymarket?
Same mechanics, none of the money. You get an order book, an automated market maker, and multi-outcome markets, but you play with free credits and compete for prizes instead of a payout in dollars.
What are Debates?
A second mode alongside the markets. You pick a side, write an argument, and AI scores the reasoning on fact-checking, relevance, and logic. Scores stay hidden until the debate resolves so nobody can copy a winning take.