Will 'Michael' surpass 'The Super Mario Galaxy Movie' as the highest-grossing film of 2026 by July 15?

This market resolves to Yes if an official announcement of any collaboration (e.g., music, film, or public project) involving Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau is made by August 31, 2026. The announcement must be made by a credible source (e.g., official social media accounts, press releases, or major news outlets). For clarity, a TikTok video without explicit confirmation of a collaboration does NOT count.

This market resolves to Yes if Character.AI publicly announces that its first in-house microdrama series, 'c.ai Series,' achieves at least 10 million cumulative views across all episodes within 30 days of its launch. A public announcement, official press release, or verifiable coverage in reputable media will determine the resolution.

Will Netflix add short-form videos from digital publishers to its homepage by August 3, 2026?

This market resolves to Yes if Netflix launches short-form videos from digital publishers, as announced, on its homepage for U.S. customers by August 3, 2026. The market resolves to No if this feature is not implemented by the announced date. Confirmation will be based on an official Netflix announcement or direct user reports of the feature going live.

This market resolves to Yes if Steven Spielberg or Amblin Entertainment officially announces the lead actors for the upcoming adaptation of 'The Mandela Catalogue' by August 15, 2026. Announcements must come from credible sources such as press releases, Spielberg's official statements, or recognized entertainment media outlets (e.g., Deadline, Variety). Speculative or unofficial reports will not count.

This market resolves to Yes if Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's wedding is publicly confirmed to have taken place at Madison Square Garden by July 31, 2026. Confirmation must come from a reliable source, such as major news outlets (e.g., CNN, Entertainment Tonight) or official statements from those involved. If no confirmation occurs by that date, the market will resolve to No.

This market resolves to Yes if Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce publicly confirm the date of their wedding (via an official announcement, credible interview, or social media post) by July 31, 2026. For the market to resolve, the announcement must unambiguously specify the wedding date. Rumors, leaks, or unverified reports do not count as confirmation.