Will new regulations on gene therapy clinical trials be announced in China by September 30, 2026?

Will the U.S. allocate at least $1 billion more in AI-focused 'Genesis Mission' grants by September 30, 2026?

This market resolves to Yes if, by September 30, 2026, public announcements or official documentation confirm that the U.S. government has allocated at least an additional $1 billion specifically toward AI projects under the 'Genesis Mission' program since its initial unveiling in July 2026. Allocations must be explicitly tied to this initiative.

Will the restoration of the Mastodonsaurus skeleton in Warsaw be completed by September 30, 2026?

This market resolves to Yes if the restoration of the Mastodonsaurus skeleton at the Copernicus Science Center in Warsaw, Poland, is officially declared complete by September 30, 2026. Verification will be based on announcements or reports from the Copernicus Science Center, the Polish Academy of Sciences, or other reliable media outlets. This market resolves to No if the restoration is not completed by this date.

This market resolves to Yes if NASA publicly announces new findings or support stemming from their funding or involvement in a study about controlled burns and their role in wildfire management (such as their effects on giant sequoias or similar ecosystems) by August 31, 2026. Announcements must come through an official NASA outlet (e.g., nasa.gov, press release, or major conference).

This market resolves to Yes if NASA publicly announces the successful initiation of science flights for its new Earth observation missions by August 31, 2026. Relevant confirmation must come from an official NASA press release, press briefing, or updates on the official NASA.gov website.

This market resolves to Yes if astronomers publicly announce the discovery of a new exoplanet that is confirmed to have an atmosphere by September 15, 2026. The confirmation must come from a reputable organization (e.g., NASA, ESA, academic journals) and be publicly acknowledged by major scientific outlets.

This market resolves to Yes if at least one new cancer research paper, flagged by the AI system as potentially fraudulent, is officially retracted by a credible journal or institution by August 31, 2026. The decision must be publicly confirmed by a trusted entity such as the journal involved, the researchers, or a prominent institution. Fraudulent 'paper mill' output refers to suspected fabricated or manipulated research identified in the referenced ScienceDaily article.