Will New York City's Air Quality Index (AQI) reach 'unhealthy' levels (AQI > 150) again by July 30, 2026 due to wildfire smoke?

This market resolves to 'Yes' if the Philadelphia Phillies have a better overall record in the 2026 MLB regular season than the New York Mets, as determined by official MLB standings at the conclusion of the regular season. If both teams finish with identical records, the market resolves to 'No'. Playoff performance does not affect this market's resolution.

This market resolves to Yes if Jazz Chisholm Jr. hits at least one home run during the New York Yankees' scheduled game on July 26, 2026. If the game is postponed or canceled and not played by July 31, 2026, the market resolves to No. Home runs in later rescheduled versions of the game will not count for resolution. This market is based on Chisholm's recent performance, including his tiebreaking homer against the Dodgers on July 19.

This market resolves to Yes if Tyler Kolek participates in an officially announced promotional event for the New York Knicks (e.g., fan meet-and-greet, media appearance, community outreach, or brand promotion explicitly listed by the Knicks) by August 15, 2026. Unofficial appearances (e.g., private events or unrelated campaigns) will not count. Verification will be based on announcements or reports from official Knicks channels or reputable NBA media.

This market resolves to Yes if Randy Orton appears in any capacity (live in-person, pre-recorded video, or via announcement) at WWE's Saturday Night's Main Event on July 25, 2026, at Madison Square Garden. Reports suggest Orton will be in New York City during Fanatics Fest, leading to speculation about his involvement in the event.

This market resolves to 'Yes' if there is a publicly reported story in a credible news source of a dog being reunited with its owner(s) after being rescued from a water body (e.g., lake, river, ocean) on or before August 15, 2026. A credible source includes major news outlets or emergency agency announcements. The story must be published by August 15, 2026, and explicitly mention a dog rescue from water leading to a reunion. If no such story is reported by the deadline, the market resolves to 'No.'

Will the remains found in Jordan on July 19, 2026, be identified as the missing U.S. service member by August 1, 2026?

This market resolves to Yes if the unidentified remains recovered in Jordan on July 19, 2026, are confirmed by U.S. Central Command or an official U.S. government announcement to belong to the missing U.S. service member from the July 17, 2026, Iranian missile attack. The determination must be made and publicly reported by August 1, 2026. If no confirmation or denial is made by the resolution date, the market resolves to No.