Markets
Will the NIH announce the reinstatement of significant funding for clinical trials by August 31, 2026?
Yes0%No0%
Loading...
About this market
This market resolves to Yes if the National Institutes of Health (NIH) officially announces the reinstatement of significant funding (at least $1 billion) for clinical trials by August 31, 2026. Public announcements from the NIH or U.S. Department of Health and Human Services will be used to determine the outcome.
Rules
- Market closes at 8/31/2026.
- Logic weighted resolution applies.
Other open markets in Science
Will NASA officially confirm the honeycomb-like patterns on Mars are of biological origin by August 31, 2026?
This market resolves to Yes if NASA publicly announces or confirms, through an official communication, press release, or peer-reviewed study, that the recently discovered honeycomb-like patterns on Mars are of biological origin (e.g., linked to past microbial or organic life) by August 31, 2026. If no such confirmation is made or if NASA confirms the patterns are of non-biological origin by this date, the market resolves to No.
Will NASA's X-59 aircraft complete a public supersonic test flight without generating a loud sonic boom by August 31, 2026?
This market resolves to Yes if NASA confirms, through public announcements or test reports, that the X-59 aircraft successfully completes a supersonic test flight without generating a loud sonic boom by August 31, 2026. Official confirmation must come from NASA or a credible aerospace source. If no such flight occurs by this date, the market resolves to No.
Will NASA's Cold Atom Laboratory on the ISS create and publish results about a fifth state of matter by August 31, 2026?
This market resolves to Yes if NASA announces that its Cold Atom Laboratory aboard the International Space Station (ISS) successfully creates and verifies experimental data for a 'fifth state of matter' by August 31, 2026. The success must be publicly confirmed through an official announcement by NASA or a peer-reviewed journal article.
Will NASA's New Horizons encounter the termination shock by August 31, 2026?
This market resolves to Yes if NASA’s New Horizons spacecraft is publicly confirmed to have entered the termination shock, the heliospheric boundary where solar wind slows and interacts with interstellar wind, by August 31, 2026. Public confirmation must come from NASA, the Southwest Research Institute, or a peer-reviewed scientific publication.
Will China's Tianwen-2 successfully collect samples from Kamo'oalewa by December 31, 2026?
This market resolves to Yes if official and credible sources, such as the China National Space Administration (CNSA), confirm that Tianwen-2 has successfully collected samples from the quasi-moon Kamo'oalewa by December 31, 2026. If no success or failure is confirmed by that date, the market resolves to No.
Will the RHINE AI model contribute to a new peer-reviewed paper in a top-tier journal by August 31, 2026?
This market resolves to Yes if a peer-reviewed paper is published in a top-tier journal (e.g., *Nature*, *Science*, *Astrophysical Journal*) with significant contributions from the RHINE AI model, as cited in the study, by August 31, 2026. The research must pertain to neutron star mergers or the synthesis of heavy elements.