Will the NSF allocate at least 90% of its research budget for FY2027 by January 31, 2027?

This market resolves to Yes if by December 31, 2026, a credible scientific paper or announcement concludes that a forgotten particle offers a new or significant explanation for the existence of the universe, recognized by leading scientific journals or institutions.

This market resolves to Yes if the next confirmed space mission to Saturn's moon Enceladus announces the detection of organic compounds consistent with the suggestion of life (e.g., amino acids, lipids) in its publicly released findings by December 31, 2030. The mission's formal results must be published in a reputable journal or as part of an official agency report to count. If no such mission occurs or no such findings are published by the deadline, this market resolves to No.

This market resolves to Yes if a peer-reviewed scientific paper or a public announcement reports a new precise value of the gravitational constant (Big G) with improved accuracy (e.g., a smaller uncertainty) compared to current known experimental results by September 30, 2027. The announcement must be made by a credible organization such as NIST, a major university, or a prominent journal like Nature or Science. If no such announcement is made by this date, the market resolves to No.

This market resolves to Yes if by June 30, 2027, a peer-reviewed study or official announcement from a reputable research institution or company confirms the discovery of a commercially viable catalyst that performs at least as well as platinum for hydrogen fuel production, at a significantly reduced cost and scalability potential. Otherwise, the market resolves to No.

This market resolves to Yes if a commercially available product using the newly synthesized 'impossible' nanocrystals from metal nitrides is released by any company by December 31, 2027. The product must be publicly acknowledged and available for purchase.

This market resolves to Yes if a commercial product using nanocrystals synthesized through the new method described by University of Chicago researchers is publicly announced by any company by December 31, 2027.