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Will the NTSB determine a weather-related cause for the Washington seaplane crash by August 31, 2026?

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About this market

This market resolves to Yes if the National Transportation Safety Board (NTSB) officially reports by August 31, 2026, that the cause of the Kenmore Air seaplane crash near Sucia Island was related to weather conditions. The outcome will be determined based on an official statement or report released publicly by the NTSB.

Rules

  • Market closes at 8/31/2026.
  • Logic weighted resolution applies.