Will Super Micro lower its Q2 sales forecast by December 31?

D.C.'s RESALE Act is scheduled to start applying on January 1, 2027, while resale platforms are asking a federal judge to stop enforcement. Resolves Yes if, at the start of January 1, 2027, a court order is in effect that blocks D.C. from enforcing the Act's resale price cap or resale marketplace fee cap against the plaintiffs or generally.

Woot listed a new standalone Switch 2 for $469, but it is unclear whether larger retailers will follow with a true console discount. Resolves Yes if Amazon, Best Buy, Walmart, Target, GameStop, or the U.S. Nintendo Store advertises a new standalone Nintendo Switch 2 console for $469.00 or less from November 22 through November 30.

Nintendo's official Black Friday Switch 2 + Mario Kart World bundle starts November 22 and is advertised as available while supplies last. Resolves Yes if the U.S. Nintendo Store shows the advertised bundle as sold out or unavailable to buy due to inventory at any point from November 22 through December 5.

IBM has confirmed it will end visa and green-card sponsorship for most U.S. roles in IBM Consulting, with impacted workers reportedly facing an end-of-2026 deadline. Resolves Yes if IBM publicly announces by December 31, 2026 that it is rescinding the cutoff, restoring sponsorship for most affected IBM Consulting roles, or delaying the reported end-of-2026 deadline for affected workers as a class.